Modeling and Dynamics in Epidemiology, COVID19 withLockdown and Isolation Effect : Application to Moroccan Case
YAFIA, R.
Show abstract
In this paper, we present a SIR mathematical model in order to study the dynamics and propagation of Covid19 and the effect of lockdown of susceptible population and isolation of infectious population. The basic reproduction number R0 depends on the lockdown and isolation rates. We prove that, R0 becomes smaller than one if the lockdown and isolation rates are higher and in this case, we have the extinction of the infectious population. We apply our results to the case of Morocco country. In the end we carried out some numerical simulations illustrating our results.
Matching journals
The top 7 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
Similar papers in this journal
- Distribution of Incubation Period of COVID-19 in the Canadian Context: Modeling and Computational Study 95%
- Solvable delay model for epidemic spreading: the case of Covid-19 in Italy 95%
- Model Based Estimation of the SARS-CoV-2 Immunization Level in Austria and Consequences for Herd Immunity Effects 95%
Similar papers in this journal
- Adding a reaction-restoration type transmission rate dynamic law to the basic SEIR COVID-19 model 96%
- Modeling the initial phase of COVID-19 epidemic: The role of age and disease severity in the Basque Country, Spain 96%
- Analytical Solution of a New SEIR Model Based on Latent Period-Infectious Period Chronological Order 96%
Similar papers in this journal
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.