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Mathematical model describing CoViD-19 in Sao Paulo State, Brazil - Evaluating isolation as control mechanism and forecasting epidemiological scenarios of release
2020-05-05
epidemiology
Title + abstract only
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We formulated a mathematical model considering young (below 60 years old) and elder (above 60 years) subpopulations to describe the introduction and dissemination of new coronavirus epidemics in the Sao Paulo State, Brazil. From the data collected in Sao Paulo State, we estimated the model parameters and calculated the basic reproduction number as R0 = 6.828. Considering isolation as a control mechanism, we varied the releasing proportions of young and elder persons to assess their epidemiologic...
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