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Mathematical Modeling For Transmissibility Of COVID-19 Via Motorcycles

Okelo, B.

2020-04-24 infectious diseases
10.1101/2020.04.18.20070797 medRxiv
Show abstract

AO_SCPLOWBSTRACTC_SCPLOWIn this paper, we present a mathematical model of trigonometric type for transmissibility and deaths as a result of COVID-19. In the model, we analyze the spread of COVID-19 by considering a new parameter, the motor-cycle as a means of public transport, which has not been considered in several other models for COVID-19. We use the mathematical model to predict the spread and deaths and we suggest strategies that can be put in place to prevent the spread caused by motorcycle as a means of public transport.

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