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A stochastic model for COVID-19 spread and the effects of Alert Level 4 in Aotearoa New Zealand

2020-04-11 epidemiology Title + abstract only
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While case numbers remain low, population-wide control methods combined with efficient tracing, testing, and case isolation, offer the opportunity for New Zealand to contain and eliminate COVID-19. We use a stochastic model to investigate containment and elimination scenarios for COVID-19 in New Zealand, as the country considers the exit from its four week period of strong Level 4 population-wide control measures. In particular we consider how the effectiveness of its case isolation operations i...

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