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Modelling the COVID-19 epidemics in Brasil: Parametric identification and public health measures influence

2020-04-03 epidemiology Title + abstract only
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A SIRU-type epidemic model is employed for the prediction of the COVID-19 epidemy evolution in Brazil, and analyse the influence of public health measures on simulating the control of this infectious disease. Since the reported cases are typically only a fraction of the total number of the symptomatic infectious individuals, the model accounts for both reported and unreported cases. Also, the model allows for a time variable functional form of both the transmission rate and the fraction of asymp...

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