Fear, Access, and the Real-Time Estimation of Etiological Parameters for Outbreaks of Novel Pathogens

2020-03-20 epidemiology Title + abstract only

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Early analysis of outbreaks of novel pathogens to evaluate their likely public health impact depends on fitting predictive models to data gathered and updated in real-time. Both transmission rates and the critical R0 threshold (i.e. the pathogens reproductive number) are inferred by finding the values that provide the best model fit to reported case incidence. These models and inferred results are then the basic tools used for public health planning: how many people expected to be infected, at ...

Fear, Access, and the Real-Time Estimation of Etiological Parameters for Outbreaks of Novel Pathogens

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