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Simple Mathematics on Covid-19 Expansion

Garcia de Abajo, J.

2020-03-20 epidemiology
10.1101/2020.03.17.20037663 medRxiv
Show abstract

We review the Kermack and McKendrick model of epidemics and apply it to Covid-19. Despite the simplicity of this model, solid conclusions are extracted that can assist potential decisions on the strategy to combat the outbreak, essentially configuring a scenario ranging from short-term suppression to long-term mitigation depending on the achieved reduction in the contact number.

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