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Covid-19 pandemic: on a simple way to visualize the epidemic states and trajectories of some European countries, and to assess the effect of delays in official response

Kevorkian, A.; Grenet, T.; Gallee, H.

2020-03-17 public and global health
10.1101/2020.03.14.20035964 medRxiv
Show abstract

We present a self-synchronizing and robust method for comparing the progression of the Covid-19 epidemics among multiple countries. In their growth phase the epidemics show power law rather than exponential law time dependences. They are similar enough for the earlier China outbreak to guide other countries projections. The delayed reaction of European countries is shown to produce a significantly worse outcome compared to China.

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