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Impact of the contact and exclusion rates on the spread of COVID-19 pandemic
2020-03-17
epidemiology
Title + abstract only
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We constructed a simple Susceptible-Infected-Infectious-Excluded model of the spread of COVID-19. The model is parametrised only by the average incubation period,{tau} , and two rate parameters: contact rate, rC, and exclusion rate, rE. The rates can be manipulated by non-therapeutic interventions and determine the basic reproduction number, R = rC/rE, and, together with{tau} , the daily multiplication coefficient at the early exponential phase, {beta}. Initial {beta} determines the reduction of...
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