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Predicting cohort-specific cervical cancer incidence from population-based HPV prevalence surveys: a worldwide study

2020-03-12 epidemiology Title + abstract only
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BackgroundPredictions of cervical cancer burden and impact of control measures are often modelled from HPV prevalence. However, predictions could be improved by data on time between prevalent HPV detection and cervical cancer occurrence. MethodsBased upon high-risk (HR) HPV prevalence and cervical cancer incidence in the same birth cohorts from 17 worldwide locations, and informed by individual-level data on age at HR HPV detection and on sexual debut, we built a mixed model to predict cervical...

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