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Applying chemical reaction transition theory to predict the latent transmission dynamics of coronavirus outbreak in China

Xu, P.

2020-02-25 infectious diseases
10.1101/2020.02.22.20026815 medRxiv
Show abstract

The recent outbreak of the Covid-19 suggests a rather long latent phase that precludes public health officials to predict the pandemic transmission on time. Here we apply mass action laws and chemical transition theory to propose a kinetic model that accounts for viral transmission dynamics at the latent phase. This model is useful for authorities to make early preventions and control measurements that stop the spread of a deadly new virus.

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