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Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Molecules's content profile, based on 39 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.05% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Galangin and Caffeic acid inhibit Methylglyoxal-induced Advanced Glycation End Product formation in Bovine Serum Albumin

Kanojia, N.; tiku, A.

2026-07-15 biophysics 10.64898/2026.07.09.737425 medRxiv
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Glycation, a non-enzymatic reaction occurring between sugars and biological macromolecules, plays a critical role in ageing and disease pathogenesis. Methylglyoxal (MG) is a highly reactive -oxoaldehyde that leads to the formation of endogenous advanced glycation end products (AGEs). These AGEs are associated with diabetes and many other diseases, including neurodegeneration and cancer. This is often through interactions with the receptor for advanced glycation end products (RAGE). Inhibition of glycation/AGEs formation using natural products to target cancer is an area of recent interest. In vitro AGEs formation was observed by browning of samples, increased fluorescence, and carbonyl stress. MG induced changes in the structure of BSA were analysed using electrophoresis, spectroscopy, TEM, AFM, DLS, and CD spectroscopy. Our results show that AGEs form random structures, oligomeric aggregates, and {beta}-sheets. Thioflavin T and Congo red staining further validated these findings. Galangin and Caffeic acid demonstrated significant antiglycation activity, suppressing AGEs formation in vitro. Graphical Abstract O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=134 SRC="FIGDIR/small/737425v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (39K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@113b391org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@7208a1org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@94c2e1org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@867b85_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG HighlightsO_LIMethylglyoxal-induced Advanced Glycation End Products were prepared in vitro C_LIO_LIMethylglyoxal -induced structural modifications in BSA C_LIO_LIAGEs were characterised using various parameters C_LIO_LIBoth fluorescent and non-fluorescent AGEs were formed. C_LIO_LIPhytochemical treatment induced inhibition of AGEs formation C_LI

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Computational design of a multi-epitope vaccine against M. tuberculosis

Buhari, A.; Okutu, P.; Oyeleke, U. A.; Sivakumar, A.; Hameed, S. A.

2026-07-15 bioinformatics 10.64898/2026.07.09.737463 medRxiv
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BackgroundTuberculosis remains a leading global infectious killer, with BCG offering inconsistent adult protection and rising drug-resistant strains demanding novel vaccine strategies. We report the first multi-epitope vaccine construct simultaneously targeting three previously unexplored Mycobacterium tuberculosis virulence proteins; EccB3, MycP, and polyketide synthase which collectively govern nutrient acquisition, ESX secretion integrity, and innate immune evasion. MethodsUsing a reverse vaccinology pipeline, B-cell, CTL, and HTL epitopes were predicted, filtered for allergenicity, toxicity, and IFN-{gamma} induction, then assembled into an 823-residue chimeric construct incorporating beta-defensin and PADRE adjuvants with AAY/GPGPG linkers, covering [~]90% global HLA diversity. The construct underwent AlphaFold structure prediction, 3DRefine refinement, disulfide engineering, PROCHECK/ProSA validation, ClusPro 2.0 docking against TLR1/TLR2, and C-IMMSIM immune simulation. ResultsThe construct (82.3 kDa, instability index 32.48) showed strong structural quality (94.7% favoured Ramachandran residues), stable TLR1/TLR2 binding (weighted energy: -1,371.0 kcal/mol), and robust in silico immune responses and durable memory cell formation following booster simulation. ConclusionThis computationally validated construct represents a promising multi-target TB vaccine candidate warranting experimental advancement.

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A covalent irreversible inhibitor binds in two mutually exclusive conformations to the active-site cysteine residue of human aldehyde dehydrogenase 1A3

Covaleda, D.; Vizarraga, D.; Upadhyay, T.; Zhu, J.; Abegg, D.; Pequerul, R.; Hugo, M.; Adibekian, A.; Fita, I.; Pares, X.; Aviles, F. X.; Boggyo, M.; Farres, J.

2026-07-15 biochemistry 10.64898/2026.07.14.738401 medRxiv
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Aldehyde dehydrogenases (ALDH) are enzymes that catalyze the NAD(P)+-dependent oxidation of aldehydes into carboxylic acids, playing roles in detoxification, biosynthesis, and regulatory functions. Dysfunction of ALDH is associated with serious conditions such as alcohol intolerance, cancer, cardiovascular problems, and neurological disorders. In humans, ALDH1A1 and ALDH1A3 isoforms act as retinaldehyde dehydrogenases and are overexpressed in various cancers, where high levels are associated with increased tumor malignancy, cancer stem cell traits, and therapeutic resistance. ALDH1A3 is recognized as a promising target for anticancer therapies, with several inhibitors, mainly reversible, developed to specifically target it or the enzyme family. Since ALDH enzymes can also display esterase activity, we used this property to develop an in vitro assay specifically targeting the esterase function of ALDH1A3. A highly conserved active-site cysteine in ALDH1A3 is located at the bottom of two converging channels, which define the substrate- and cofactor-binding pockets. To target this catalytic cysteine, we screened a library of 3,200 cysteine-focused covalent fragments. This led to the identification of Z3405279217 (Z34), an acrylamide-based covalent compound that inhibits both ALDH1A1 and ALDH1A3 at sub-micromolar levels. Biochemical and biophysical tests confirmed that Z34 acts as a time-dependent, covalent, and irreversible binder to the active-site cysteine. In this work, we determined the Cryo-EM structure of the ALDH1A3-Z34 complex at 2.26 [A] resolution, confirming the covalent attachment to the catalytic cysteine of Z34. Notably, two mutually exclusive covalent binding modes were observed: one occupying the substrate-binding pocket and the other the cofactor-binding region. Z34 displayed unexpected binding modes within the active site and holds promise as a lead compound for future drug development. GRAPHICAL ABSTRACT O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=184 HEIGHT=200 SRC="FIGDIR/small/738401v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (33K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@982d1forg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@ba86f2org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1f19f2borg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@8e807_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG

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Development of a High-throughput in vivo Assay for the Determination of Adenylation Domain Specificities

Praeve, L.; Liu, J.; Zhou, Y.; Lonono Sanchez, O. N.; Wacker, A. B.; Bode, H. B.

2026-07-15 biochemistry 10.64898/2026.07.14.738513 medRxiv
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Natural product synthesis by non-ribosomal peptide synthetases (NRPS) is greatly defined by the substrate selectivity of the adenylation (A) domains. Previous assays for specificity determination were mainly performed in vitro and were requiring protein purification. In this work, we developed - based on NRPS engineering - a novel in vivo assay suitable for high-throughput application named ASCR (A domain screening). Using the recently described XUT fusion sites, A domains and their upstream condensation domains were assembled as di-domains to characterized NRPS model system, which allowed detection of defined tripeptide products via mass spectrometry directly after cell culture extraction. We evaluated the assay by screening in total 54 A domains from five known and seven uncharacterized NRPS, covering a broad range organism taxonomy and GC content of the investigated NRPS-encoding genes. Additionally, we applied the assay to elucidate and confirm the structures of novel cyclic pentapeptides derived from three novel NRPS from Photorhabdus temperata K122.

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Molecular dynamics simulations demonstrate reduced antibiotic affinity to mirror bacterial targets

Fady, P.-E.; Ciccone, J.

2026-07-15 molecular biology 10.64898/2026.07.14.738450 medRxiv
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"Mirror life", self-replicating organisms composed of non-natural-chirality biomacromolecules, presents a future threat with potentially global consequences. Consequently, there is strong agreement among experts that it should not be created. However, there is some disagreement over how effective existing medical countermeasures might prove against mirror bacteria in the event that they were created. Here, we leverage computational chemistry methods including docking and molecular dynamics to determine the likely binding efficacy of existing antibiotics against natural and mirror bacterial protein targets. We find that most existing antibiotics fail to bind to mirror bacterial protein targets, unlike their natural-chirality targets. This suggests altered binding of current medical countermeasures, which may impact the antimicrobial activity against mirror bacteria were the latter were created.

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5β-Dihydrotestosterone reveals a mutant androgen receptor vulnerability in prostate cancer

Adams, S.; Phelan, L.; Lewis, T.; Behm, J.; Law, A.; Shi, X.; Li, G. F.; Li, J.

2026-07-15 cancer biology 10.64898/2026.07.14.738538 medRxiv
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Bipolar androgen therapy (BAT) exploits the paradoxical vulnerability of castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) cells to rapid cycling between castrate and supraphysiologic androgen concentrations, but clinical BAT uses testosterone, which can also activate wild-type androgen receptor (AR) in androgen-responsive tissues, causing systemic side effects. 5{beta}-dihydrotestosterone (5{beta}-DHT) is a naturally occurring testosterone metabolite generally considered androgenically inactive because it binds wild-type AR weakly, yet its activity against clinically relevant AR mutants has not been systematically evaluated. Here, we tested whether 5{beta}-DHT and related 5{beta}-reduced testosterone metabolites activate AR signaling and growth programs in prostate cancer models that carry AR mutations. In C4-2 cells, 5{beta}-DHT and 3{beta}-etiocholanediol (3{beta}-ecdiol) increased canonical AR target genes, including KLK3 and TMPRSS2, with weaker activity than testosterone, whereas other 5{beta} metabolites showed limited activity. In androgen-responsive LNCaP and C4-2 models, 5{beta}-DHT and 3{beta}-ecdiol promoted cell growth under androgen-depleted conditions, and this effect was suppressed by enzalutamide, supporting AR dependence. RNA-seq confirmed that 5{beta}-DHT and 3{beta}-ecdiol induced androgen-response gene sets substantially overlapping with testosterone, albeit at lower transcriptional magnitude. Further, we found that 5{beta}-DHT, but not 3{beta}-ecdiol, suppresses cell proliferation of LNCaP, C4-2, and PC-3 cells stably expressing the clinically relevant AR gain-of-function mutants W742C and H875Y through activating AR-induced senescence-like features after high-dose exposure, consistent with the therapeutic logic of BAT. These findings identify 5{beta}-DHT as an overlooked mutant-AR agonist capable of BAT-like tumor suppression and propose it as a testosterone surrogate in BAT with potentially reduced systemic androgenic side effects. HighlightsO_LI5{beta}-DHT and 3{beta}-ecdiol promote AR-dependent prostate cancer cell growth C_LIO_LIBoth are weaker AR agonists than testosterone by RNA-seq and qPCR C_LIO_LISupraphysiologic 5{beta}-DHT suppresses growth via AR-mediated senescence C_LIO_LIGrowth suppression extends to AR mutants W742C and H875Y C_LIO_LI5{beta}-DHT may be a lower-androgenicity testosterone surrogate for BAT C_LI

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Diversity and Utilization Patterns of Medicinal Plants Used in the Management of Diabetes Mellitus: An Ethnobotanical Study in Selected Communities in Sierra Leone

Kamara, S.; Jimmy, A. I.; Gary, L. P.

2026-07-21 pharmacology and therapeutics 10.64898/2026.07.18.26358386 medRxiv
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Background: Diabetes mellitus is an increasing public health challenge in Sierra Leone, where access to diagnosis, treatment, and long-term care remains limited. Traditional medicine continues to play a significant role in disease management; however, ethnobotanical knowledge related to diabetes remains insufficiently documented. Methods: A cross-sectional ethnobotanical survey was conducted among 40 informants, including traditional healers, herbalists, and knowledgeable community members in Waterloo, Pendembu, and Bo. Data were collected using structured questionnaires administered via Kobo Toolbox and paper-based tools. Information on medicinal plants, plant parts used, preparation methods, routes of administration, and knowledge transmission pathways was obtained. Quantitative ethnobotanical indices, including Frequency of Citation (FC), Relative Frequency of Citation (RFC), and Informant Consensus Factor (ICF), were calculated. Results: A total of 21 medicinal plant species were documented. The most frequently cited species were Moringa oleifera (FC = 9; RFC = 0.225), Vernonia amygdalina (FC = 7; RFC = 0.175), and both Cassia siberiana and Telfairia occidentalis (FC = 6; RFC = 0.150). Leaves were the most commonly utilized plant part (40.9%), and decoction was the predominant preparation method (76.2%), with oral administration accounting for 95.2% of use. The Informant Consensus Factor (ICF = 0.69) indicated a relatively high level of agreement among informants. Knowledge was primarily transmitted through apprenticeship and inherited family practices. Conclusion: Traditional medicinal plants remain an important component of diabetes management in Sierra Leone. The high level of consensus among informants and the repeated citation of specific plant species suggest structured and culturally validated therapeutic practices. The findings provide a foundation for future phytochemical and pharmacological investigations and highlight the need for documentation, preservation, and sustainable utilization of ethnobotanical knowledge.

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Development of a Matrix-Matched Calibration Curve for Multi-Site Quantification of Neu5Gc-Bearing N-Glycans

DeBono, N. J.; Moh, E. S.; Poole, J.; Packer, N. H.; Day, C. J.; Jennings, M. P.; Kolarich, D.; Ashwood, C.

2026-07-15 biochemistry 10.64898/2026.07.14.738351 medRxiv
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N-glycolylneuraminic acid (Neu5Gc) has been repeatedly associated with human cancer, but reliable detection has remained elusive, generating controversy regarding its presence in human samples. To address this, matrix-matched calibration curves, which have been pioneered in proteomics and metabolomics for assessing changes in complex mixtures, were measured of released N-glycans at four orders of magnitude dynamic range in defined mixtures, systematically benchmarking Neu5Gc-containing N-glycan detection across multiple LC-MS platforms and sites. Orthogonally, the gold-standard analytical method, consisting of fluorescence detection of labelled monosaccharides separated by LC, was applied to the same samples, yielding absolute concentrations of Neu5Gc. LC-MS demonstrated an extended detection range of three or more orders of magnitude while retaining intact N-glycan measurement, improving assay specificity and enabling detection of the variety of Neu5Gc-bearing N-glycans. By combining orthogonal dimensions of evidence, including chromatographic separation, isotopic distribution matching, and composition-confirming MS/MS, LC-MS confidently resolved Neu5Gc signals from noise, even at low abundance. In comparison, DMB-LC-FLR was limited to two orders of magnitude dynamic range, insufficient for detection of Neu5Gc in commercially available pooled human sera. These findings strongly support that DMB-LC-FLR assay specificity and sensitivity are insufficient for Neu5Gc detection in human samples due to noise overwhelming the Neu5Gc signal. By establishing a reusable benchmarking framework for future glycomic studies, we aim to use LC-MS to improve the measurement of Neu5Gc in clinical samples.

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Nationwide Mpox Genomic Surveillance Reveals Clade Ib Introductions, APOBEC3-Driven Evolution, and Terminal Deletions

Brochu, H. N.; Shi, Q.; Song, K.; Zhang, Q.; Munroe, J.; Harris, N. J.; Britt, N.; Zeng, Q.; Kapuria, K.; Chappell, J.; Norvell, B. M.; Peavy, L.; Williams, J. D.; Harris, A. B.; Chaitram, J.; Hutson, C. L.; Deng, J.; McGrath, D.; Boles, D.; Dale, S. E.; Gigante, C. M.; Iyer, L. K.

2026-07-17 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.07.15.26357894 medRxiv
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Background The 2022-2023 global mpox outbreak highlighted the critical need for robust genomic surveillance capabilities to track mpox virus (MPXV) evolution and transmission dynamics. Methods Building upon our established SARS-CoV-2 sequencing infrastructure, we implemented a Molecular Loop probe-based long-read sequencing approach using Pacific Biosciences Sequel II technology for comprehensive MPXV genomic surveillance across the United States (US). From August 2024 to June 2025, we generated 326 high-quality whole genome sequences from residual mpox-positive clinical specimens collected by Labcorp across all 10 US Department of Health and Human Services regions. Results Our analysis identified two samples containing clade Ib MPXV in January and June 2025 and captured shifting trends in clade IIb diversity, with 13 distinct lineages observed. We also identified multiple instances of large (~1.6-17.6kb) deletions proximal to the inverted terminal repeats in clade IIb genomes. APOBEC3 mutation analysis indicated substantial evidence of human-to-human transmission among both clades. Further, we observed significantly higher APOBEC3-associated SNPs per kilobase (P<0.001) in clade IIb genomic variable regions relative to their central conserved region. Our assay exhibited strong reproducibility across biological replicates from individual patients and accuracy was confirmed via parallel sequencing of select specimens by US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) using metagenomic sequencing. We also demonstrated via custom simulation that our assay discriminates all known MPXV clades and lineages, including those we have not observed in the US. Conclusions Our integrated nationwide surveillance system facilitates real-time genomic tracking of outbreak evolution, with demonstrated capacity across SARS-CoV-2 and MPXV, positioning this platform for rapid deployment during future pathogen emergence.

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Implementation of a standardized Video-based Asynchronous Neurological Examination (VANE) in a multi-center observational study of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and AD related dementias

Noble, J. M.; Nadkarni, N. K.; Martinez, D.; Temprosa, M.; Bowers, A.; Carmichael, O.; Doherty, L.; Febres, G. J.; Sanchez, D. L.; Goldberg, T. E.; Sherif, H.; Shah, V.; Luchsinger, J. A.; DPP Research Group,

2026-07-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26357456 medRxiv
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Introduction: The Diabetes Prevention Program Outcomes Study (DPPOS) is an established cohort of aging persons with pre-diabetes and type 2 diabetes with 25 years of median follow-up. In 2022 DPPOS added Alzheimer's disease (AD), and AD related dementias (ADRD) phenotyping using the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center (NACC) Uniform Data Set (UDSv3), which included a standardized neurological examination across 25 clinical sites, administered by clinical staff and interpreted centrally by clinicians. Methods: A DPPOS video-based asynchronous neurological examination (DPPOS-VANE) was developed iteratively through consensus from research clinicians and staff feedback to harmonize with UDSv3 to identify common neurological diagnoses aside from dementia including diabetic cranial neuropathies, stroke and parkinsonism. DPPOS-VANE was designed to be conducted without direct participant contact by the examiner, reproducible, and independent of clinical skills of PCs. An iPad camera recorded the video exam, comprised of assessments of extraocular and facial movements, visual fields, speech, gross motor strength, pronator drift, praxis and parkinsonism. A 10-minute training video demonstrated the examination step-by-step with scripts and instructions in English and Spanish. Site-specific performance review, feedback, and staff certification preceded central reading of video recordings by physicians. After two years of implementation, 1286 DPPOS-VANEs led to 1284 examination reviews. Of these, 1204 (93%) were completed by having the examiner follow the standard script. Overall, 1237 examinations (96%) were delivered as planned, 41 (3%) had minor errors but were still usable, and 6 (0.4%) had major deviations in exam technique; two additional recorded evaluations were not usable as recorded videos were inaccessible due to technical errors. Each examination was completed within 10-15 minutes. Each site on average completed 51.4 examinations (range 14-92). Discussion: Engaging 55 research staff across 25 sites and 3 physician-reviewers, this study is the first to demonstrate feasibility of a VANE as an efficient neurological examination model enabled by commonly used devices. Such a multisite standardized VANE represents a novel paradigm for large epidemiological studies.

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Alcohol consumption during pregnancy dysregulates maternofetal angiogenic and inflammatory factors with sex specificities

Sautreuil, C.; Lesueur, C.; Pinto Cardoso, G.; Bruel, H.; Biran, V.; Muller, J.-B.; Duigou, A.-L.; Datin-Dorriere, V.; Verspyck, E.; Marguet, F.; Laquerriere, A.; Gressens, P.; Gonzalez, B.; Marret, S.

2026-07-17 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.07.15.26357094 medRxiv
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Prenatal alcohol exposure (PAE) is a major cause of neurodevelopmental disorders, yet most children are diagnosed late or misdiagnosed. Neuroplacentology suggest that placental factors released into maternal and/or umbilical cord blood contribute to fetal brain development. Consistently, a preclinical inter-organ transcriptomic database revealed that PAE disrupts the expression ratio of angiogenic and inflammatory factors suggesting an angio-inflammatory response. This study aimed i) to assay, by multiplex immunoassay, angiogenic and inflammatory factors in maternal and umbilical cord blood from alcohol-consuming women and ii) to perform a maternofetal analysis according to neonatal sex. Afterwards, dysregulated factors from mothers who gave birth to females or males were submitted to STRING and ShinyGO analyses. Results showed that PAE differently altered the distribution profiles of dysregulated angiogenic and inflammatory factors in maternal and umbilical cord blood. Moreover, sex-specific differences were observed, with 36% of dysregulated proteins specific to males, 48% to females, and 16% common to both. STRING analysis revealed robust functional protein-protein interactions linking together inflammatory and angiogenic clusters while the ShinyGO analysis identified enriched pathways related to vascular shear stress. These findings provide the first maternofetal analysis of combined angiogenic and inflammatory factors from alcohol-consuming mothers.

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Reconsidering the case against risk prediction in self-harm: routinely collected health data distinguishes groups at higher and lower risk of adverse outcomes following paracetamol overdose

Oxley, J.; Schölin, L.; Brennan, G.; Anand, A.; Brett, J.; Eddleston, M.; Humphries, C.

2026-07-17 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358127 medRxiv
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Background. UK clinical guidance recommends that structured risk prediction tools and risk stratification should not be used in self-harm, to predict suicide or determine who is offered treatment. Underpinning this position is the premise that routinely collected health data contain no useful predictive signal, which has received little direct scrutiny. Objective. To test whether routinely collected electronic health record data can distinguish groups at higher and lower risk of severe outcomes following paracetamol overdose. Methods. We analysed 4,095 adults presenting to NHS Lothian emergency departments with paracetamol overdose (2017-2023). Elastic-net logistic regression was fitted to 37 routinely collected electronic health record features to predict a composite of death or mental health inpatient admission at 0-7, 8-30 and 31-365 days following attendance, evaluated on a held-out 20% test set with bootstrapping. Findings. Events occurred in 5.5% of patients at 0-7 days, 2.0% at 8-30 days and 7.9% at 31-365 days, dominated by mental health admission. Bootstrap AUROC 95% confidence intervals lay above 0.5 in every window (0.65-0.82, 0.63-0.90, 0.71-0.85): models ranked patients better than chance. Calibration slopes (1.04, 1.14, 1.07) were close to one. Ranking drew primarily on mental health-related features. Conclusions. Routinely collected health data carried predictive signal for severe outcomes after paracetamol overdose, although discrimination fell short of what is needed for individual-level clinical use. Clinical implications. These models are not proposed for clinical deployment; however, treating risk prediction as a settled question will redirect research efforts, potentially excluding this patient population from machine learning advances driving improvements in care in other medical specialties.

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Rest-Activity Rhythm Variability Across Clinical Episodes of Bipolar Disorder: Standalone Biomarker or Statistical Artifact?

Konicarova, C.-A.; Schneider, J.; Spaniel, F.; Kolenic, M.; Alda, M.; Bakstein, E.

2026-07-17 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358139 medRxiv
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Background: Actigraphy-derived rest-activity rhythm (RAR) features are widely used to characterize clinical states in bipolar disorder (BD). Both mean levels and temporal variability of these features have been associated with mood episodes; however, variability measures are often statistically coupled with the mean, particularly in skewed distributions. This raises a question as to whether variability reflects a separate characteristic of the data or whether the observed association arises from statistical properties of the data. Objective: In this study, we aim to determine whether temporal variability of actigraphy-derived RAR features provides standalone information on mood episodes in BD beyond mean activity levels after accounting for mean-variance dependence. Methods: We analyzed actigraphy data from a subset of 72 participants with BD drawn from a larger longitudinal study, extracting 22 daily RAR features aggregated weekly as sample mean (MEAN) and within-week temporal variability computed as sample standard deviation (VAR). Variance-stabilizing transformations (Box-Cox or Yeo-Johnson) were applied to the entire study cohort to reduce mean-variance dependence. Associations with mood episodes and remission (mania: n=34; depression: n=58 annotated participants) were evaluated using generalized linear mixed-effects models with a logistic link function, including univariate (MEAN or VAR) and multivariate (MEAN+VAR) specifications, assessed by likelihood-based metrics and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results: Transformations reduced mean-absolute correlations from 0.43 to below 0.06. Temporal variability remained significantly associated with clinical state for 11/22 RAR features in mania and 16/22 features in depression, with all significant associations remaining after false discovery rate correction (p<0.05). Joint models showed modest incremental gains (AUC 3%-4% overall; up to 12% in mania, 7% in depression), with absolute performance remaining limited (AUC 0.50-0.66). In both mania and depression, nearly all significant variability-based regressors contributed incremental information beyond mean-based models. Only sleep duration and activity changes around wake time (+-1 hour), did not improve discrimination between mania and remission. Conclusions: Temporal variability in RAR features can be considered a standalone state marker of mood episodes not captured by mean activity. We found it to be more consistently associated with depression than mania. Its incremental discriminative contribution is modest, suggesting greater utility within multivariate or multimodal frameworks.

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PARIS (Pneumonia: Acute Respiratory Infection +/- Sepsis): a prospective single-centre observational cohort study of hospitalised patients with pneumonia

Nasser, S. T.; Piercy, C. R.; Falinska, A.; O'Sullivan, D. M.; Devonshire, A.; Martinez-Estrada, F.; Huggett, J.; Creagh-Brown, B. C.

2026-07-17 respiratory medicine 10.64898/2026.07.15.26357955 medRxiv
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Introduction Hospitalised community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is heterogeneous in aetiology, severity, and outcome. Phenotyping and endotyping approaches offer potential to stratify patients biologically and guide targeted therapy, but require well-characterised cohorts with linked biosamples. We describe the PARIS (Pneumonia: Acute Respiratory Infection +/- Sepsis) study: a prospective observational cohort of hospitalised patients with pneumonia, designed to characterise functional outcomes and to provide a biobank for translational immunological research. Methods Adults admitted with CAP to a single NHS district general hospital were enrolled within 24 hours of admission between December 2020 and March 2022. Clinical, functional, and physiological data were collected at enrolment, hospital discharge, and 6-8 week follow-up. Serial blood samples were collected for flow cytometry, transcriptomics, pathogen DNA detection, and plasma biobanking. Results Forty-seven patients were enrolled (15 without and 32 with sepsis [SOFA >=2] at enrolment); 87% met sepsis criteria by 24 hours post enrolment. Most patients (30/47, 64%) were managed as COVID-19, microbiologically confirmed in 27. Mean age was 57 years (SD 16), 70% were male, and baseline comorbidity burden was low. Severity was moderate (median NEWS2 4 at enrolment, rising to 6 by 24 hours post enrolment; p<0.001). Mortality was 4/47 (8.5%), with 44/47 (94%) alive at hospital discharge. Median length of stay was 8 days (IQR 5.5-11). Translational samples were collected from the majority: fresh flow cytometry (44/47, 94%), transcriptomics from the sepsis subgroup (31/32, 97%), pathogen DNA sampling (35 samples received across study timepoints; see Table 5), and stored plasma (29/47, 62%). The primary outcome of functional decline (Barthel score decrease >=1.85) occurred in only 1/29 patients with paired assessments (3.4%). Persistent CRP elevation (>3 mg/L) at 6-8 week follow-up was present in 16/31 (52%) survivors with available data. Conclusions The PARIS cohort provides a well-characterised clinical platform and linked biobank to support translational studies of pneumonia and sepsis. The low rate of functional decline reflects the younger, lower-comorbidity, COVID-predominant population recruited. Primary protocol endpoints were not achieved owing to pandemic-related disruption. Data and samples underpin a programme of linked translational studies.

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Photobiomodulation promotes wound healing and functional improvement following lumbar decompression surgery: a double-blinded, placebo-controlled study

Rivera, J.; Zhou, Y.; Sak, L.; Pudewa, F.; Lee, J.; Yamamoto, M. T.; Yoo, H.; Lum, M.; Zhang, M.; Patel, A.; Vandenberghe, L. E.; Fenn, S. K.; Wang, Y.; Bailey, B.; Holley, S. M.; Vivas, A. C.; Holly, L. T.; Lu, D. C.

2026-07-17 surgery 10.64898/2026.07.15.26357882 medRxiv
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Objective: Photobiomodulation therapy has emerged as a promising modality to facilitate scar healing and pain management in dermatology and plastic surgery. However, its role in postoperative care following spine surgeries remains understudied. This double-blinded, placebo-controlled study aimed to investigate the effects of photobiomodulation in patients with chronic lower back pain undergoing lumbar decompression, with postoperative wound healing as the primary outcome and pain reduction and functional recovery as secondary outcomes. Methods: Patients were randomized to receive either active photobiomodulation braces (N=13) or placebo braces (N=12). Follow-up assessments were performed at 2, 4, 6, 8, and 12 weeks postoperatively. Outcomes included wound healing (Stony Brook Scar Evaluation Scale), back and leg pain (Visual Analog Scale), quality of life (EuroQol 5D), and functional status (Oswestry Disability Index). Results: Compared to the placebo group, the photobiomodulation treatment group had a 4.12-fold cumulative improvement in final scar scores, with significant between-group differences at postoperative weeks 6, 8, and 12 (p = 0.0062, 0.010, 0.042). Among patients with severe preoperative disability, treatment resulted in a 1.89-fold faster improvement in back pain (p=0.025) and a 1.80-fold faster improvement in ODI scores (p=0.025); and superior treatment effect on wound healing were again observed at weeks 6, 8, and 12. Among patients with poor initial scars, treatment led to a significantly better scar outcome than placebo at week 6 and a 1.94-fold faster EQ5D improvement (p=0.052), with significant gains observed as early as two weeks after surgery. There were no adverse events associated with photobiomodulation treatment. Conclusions: Photobiomodulation significantly promoted postoperative wound healing following lumbar decompression surgery, with therapeutic benefits preserved even in patients with poor baseline scar scores and functional impairment. This indicates that the efficacy of photobiomodulation is not limited by the initial scar condition or disability, supporting its broad clinical applicability. Additionally, patients with severe preoperative disability experienced greater benefits from photobiomodulation than placebo, including faster reduction in back pain and more rapid improvement in functional capacity, highlighting its role in postoperative pain management and rehabilitation. These therapeutic effects are likely mediated by photobiomodulation-induced reduction of inflammation and enhancement of tissue repair. Together, this study suggests that photobiomodulation can be a promising adjunct therapy to facilitate postoperative recovery in patients undergoing spine surgery.

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Microvascular Thrombosis and Acute Kidney Injury in COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Quantitative Analysis

Duarte, C. A.; Uscocovich, V. S. M.; Misael, I.; Duarte, P. D. A. C.; Sestito, E. B.; Da SIlva, P. N.

2026-07-17 nephrology 10.64898/2026.07.14.26357748 medRxiv
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Abstract Objective: To synthesize the available evidence on the association between SARS-CoV-2-related microvascular thrombosis and acute kidney injury (AKI), with emphasis on renal outcomes, mortality, and renal replacement therapy requirements. Methods: This systematic review followed the PRISMA 2020 statement and was prospectively registered in PROSPERO (CRD420251132701). PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus, and Embase were searched for systematic reviews, including meta-analyses, and umbrella reviews investigating the association between SARS-CoV-2-related microvascular thrombosis and acute kidney injury. Two reviewers independently performed study selection, data extraction, and methodological quality assessment using AMSTAR-2 and ROBIS. Evidence was synthesized through a structured narrative synthesis supported by quantitative data extracted from the included reviews. Results: Six evidence syntheses evaluating kidney involvement, thrombotic events, and microvascular mechanisms in COVID-19 were included. AKI incidence was 9.2% (95%CI 4.6-13.9) among hospitalized patients and 32.6% (95%CI 8.5-56.6) among critically ill patients. In children with multisystem inflammatory syndrome associated with SARS-CoV-2, AKI incidence was 20% (95%CI 14-28). Microvascular or thrombotic events were associated with adverse renal outcomes (OR 2.14; 95%CI 1.32-3.48). AKI was associated with increased mortality (OR 4.68; 95%CI 1.06-20.70) and greater likelihood of renal replacement therapy requirement (OR 2.87; 95%CI 1.45-5.68). The certainty of evidence ranged from moderate to high for the principal outcomes. Conclusion: Current evidence supports an important association between microvascular thrombotic injury and COVID-19-associated AKI. These findings reinforce the relevance of endothelial dysfunction and thromboinflammatory pathways in kidney involvement during COVID-19 and highlight the need for early renal monitoring, risk stratification, and kidney-protective strategies in high-risk patients. Keywords: COVID-19; Acute Kidney Injury; Microvascular Thrombosis; SARS-CoV-2; Renal Replacement Therapy; Systematic Review

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Portable Ultra-Low Field MRI Deep-Learning Algorithms for White Matter Lesion Segmentation Improve Accuracy and Reflect Clinical Disability in Multiple Sclerosis

Thommana, A. A.; Donnay, C. A.; Norato, G.; Gaitan, M. I.; Griffanti, L.; Nair, G.; Reich, D. S.; Okar, S. V.

2026-07-17 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26357954 medRxiv
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White matter lesion (WML) identification, assessment, and characterization using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) are fundamental for diagnosis and monitoring of multiple sclerosis (MS). Portable ultra-low field (pULF) MRI at 64 millitesla (mT) has been shown to visualize WML with at least one dimension greater than 4 mm. An automated WML segmentation tool catered to pULF-MRI can provide standardized and accurate quantitative measurements of WML volume. In this study, we sought to investigate and compare the accuracy of machine-learning (ML) and deep-learning (DL) pULF MRI segmentation tools. Same-day paired pULF (64mT) and high-field (HF, 3T) MRI scans from 84 adults with MS or suspected-MS (mean age {+/-} SD: 48 {+/-} 13, 62 females) included T2-FLAIR and T1w images. Reference WML segmentations were manually annotated on pULF T2-FLAIR for all scans, with WML confirmed with registered HF T2-FLAIR. HF reference WML segmentations were created. Four automated segmentation methods were applied to pULF scans: Method for Inter-Modal Segmentation Analysis (MIMoSA), an ML algorithm trained on HF WML masks; WMH-SynthSeg, a convolutional neural network model with flexible segmentation capabilities across field strengths and resolution; nnU-Net, a DL algorithm trained on pULF reference WML masks; and Pseudo-Label Assisted nnU-Net (PLAn), a DL algorithm pre-trained on HF reference WML masks and refined with 64mT reference WML masks. Two models were trained with nnU-Net, one using T2-FLAIR images only (nnU-Net-FL) and one using T1w and T2-FLAIR images (nnU-Net-FL/T1). The same was done with PLAn, creating PLAn-FL and PLAn-FL/T1. The six automated WML segmentation outputs were compared to the manual segmentations to determine Dice Similarity Coefficient (DSC) scores. Associations of WML volume estimates with clinical measures were investigated. DSC scores with pULF reference WML masks from PLAn-FL (DSC mean {+/-} SD: 0.50 {+/-} 0.24) outperformed MIMoSA (0.24 {+/-} 0.20, p < 0.0001), WMH-SynthSeg (0.30 {+/-} 0.18, p < 0.0001), nnU-Net-FL (0.41 {+/-} 0.24, p < 0.0001), and nnU-Net-FL/T1 (0.41 {+/-} 0.26, p = 0.0004). Worse Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and Scripps Neurologic Rating Scale (SNRS) scores were correlated with higher WML volumes in the pULF and HF reference masks. They were also correlated with WML volumes derived from WHM-SynthSeg, nnU-Net-FL, nnU-Net-FL/T1, PLAn-FL, and PLAn-FL/T1, but not MIMoSA. After adjusting for age, WHM-SynthSeg, nnU-Net FL, nnU-Net-FL/T1, PLAn-FL, and PLAn-FL/T1 had significant associations with EDSS and SNRS scores. nnU-Net and PLAn performed best in segmenting WML on pULF-MRI at 64 mT, providing accurate quantitative estimates of WML burden. Moreover, WML volumes estimated by these algorithms were associated with clinical measures of disability, underscoring their utility for reflecting clinical and radiological disease severity. Given pULF-MRI's mobility and lower cost, these findings highlight its relevance in clinical trials, particularly in involving more participants who face logistical constraints and barriers.

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Comparing different neuroimaging modalities for quantification of the cholinergic system in Parkinson's disease

d'Angremont, E.; Marschall, T. M.; Renken, R. J.; Sommer, I. E.

2026-07-17 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26357522 medRxiv
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Introduction Parkinson's disease (PD) is a multifactorial disorder, affecting multiple neurotransmitter systems, including the cholinergic system. Cholinergic denervation is heterogeneous across patients and difficult to predict based on clinical presentation. In this study, we assessed the sensitivity of structural MRI (sMRI) and functional MRI (fMRI) to cholinergic degeneration related to PD and to cognitive functioning in PD. We compared our results to results from previously reported [18F]Fluoroethoxybenzovesamicol ([18F]FEOBV) PET imaging, which is considered the gold standard for cholinergic imaging. Methods 34 PD patients and 10 healthy controls underwent structural T1-weighted MRI. A subset of 14 patients and 9 controls also underwent resting-state fMRI. We extracted the bilateral volumes of the nucleus basalis of Meynert (NBM) from the sMRI images. Functional connectivity (FC) from the NBM to the cortex (NBM-FC) was determined using fMRI data. Principal component analysis (PCA) was applied to reduce the dimensionality of the NBM-FC images. We assessed performances for NBM-FC in distinguishing patients from controls using stepwise logistic regression. Similarly, NBM volume was used using logistic regression. Furthermore, the relation between these measures and cognitive function in several domains was investigated with (stepwise) linear regression. Leave-one-out cross validation (LOOCV) and bootstrapping was performed to assess robustness of the results. Results NBM-FC was well able to discriminate patients from controls with an AUC of 0.84 (95% CI: 0.62-1). NBM volume showed lower performance, but was still better than chance: AUC: 0.75 (95% CI: 0.57-0.93). Significant correlations were found between 1) cognition in the attentional domain and NBM-FC (r=0.63; p=.015) and 2) global cognition and NBM volume (r=0.55, p=.001). These results were inferior to those previously reported using [18F]FEOBV tracer uptake (see Chapter 6). Bootstrapping revealed that NBM volume of only the left hemisphere was stably related to PD diagnosis and global cognition in PD patients. We found that a lower NBM-FC in specific brain areas, including the fusiform gyrus, supramarginal gyrus and dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, was related to PD diagnosis. Bootstrapping revealed no stable NBM-FC pattern related to attention. Conclusion Although MRI results were slightly inferior to [18F]FEOBV PET data, MRI may provide a cheaper and more widely available alternative for cholinergic imaging. We recommend testing the utility of MRI as predictor and monitor of cholinergic treatment effect in a longitudinal study.

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Efficient stochastic epidemic simulation via the Sellke construction

van Boven, M.; Bootsma, M. C.

2026-07-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358219 medRxiv
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Stochastic epidemic models are a cornerstone of infectious disease epidemiology and are often used to study intervention scenarios. However, large run-to-run variability can make intervention effects difficult to estimate precisely. We revisit the epidemic Sellke construction, which assigns each individual an infection threshold for the cumulative infection hazard such that, conditional on the thresholds, the epidemic trajectory becomes deterministic. This enables coupling of simulations with and without an intervention, yielding low-variance effect estimates even when outcomes such as final size or peak incidence vary widely between runs. We develop an exact, event-driven implementation that maintains infection and recovery events in priority queues. Cumulative infection-hazard updates require O(log N) time per event, yielding overall complexity O(Elog N) for E events in a population of size N. The implementation achieves computational performance comparable to the classical Gillespie algorithm while naturally accommodating non-Markovian infectious periods and complex infectiousness profiles. We illustrate the approach using distance-dependent spread of avian influenza between poultry farms in the Netherlands and a multilayer population with households, schools, and workplaces. In both examples, coupling enables efficient within-run comparisons of intervention scenarios across stochastic realisations.

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Complex intra-host SARS-CoV-2 evolution following monoclonal antibody pre-exposure prophylaxis

Kamelian, K.; Pascall, D. J.; Cheng, M. T. K.; Meng, B.; Altaf, M.; Morse, R. M.; Aggio, J. B.; Egan, D. J. S.; Chen-Xu, M.; Trivioli, G.; Sutton, B.; Richter, A.; Gonzalez-Vazquez, L. D.; Cormie, C.; Kemp, S.; Yeadon, R.; Hyatt, B.; Wong, A.; Thesin Pelamkulangara, N.; Fraser, E.; McCarthy, B.; Novaes, F.; Stott, S.; Galvin, A.; Bellis, K. L.; De Angelis, D.; Harrison, E. M.; Martin, D.; Smith, R. M.; Gupta, R. K.

2026-07-17 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.07.14.26356329 medRxiv
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Background: Monoclonal antibodies have emerged as a prophylactic strategy to prevent symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection in immunocompromised individuals. However, the evolutionary and clinical implications of breakthrough infections under this regime remain unclear. Methods: A male in their 80s with a haematological/oncological diagnosis received a 2000 mg intravenous infusion of sotrovimab in March 2023 and was diagnosed with COVID-19 by RT-qPCR from a nasopharyngeal swab in August 2023. Weekly samples (n=24) were collected through February 2024 (171 days). All samples underwent whole-genome sequencing, with select mutations subjected to functional assessment. Findings: Sequencing identified the GE.1 lineage at all timepoints. An intra-host recombination event in ORF1ab (positions 8942-12458) was detected prior to 23 weeks post-detection, followed by a 14-fold increase in viral load (7.42e+06 to 1.00e+08 RNA copies/mL) and a marked shift in the viral population. E340D, a sotrovimab resistance mutation, was detected at low abundance (46%) within the first week post-infection, fluctuated over time, and was nearly fixed by week 15 (107 days) post-detection. We assessed five spike mutations - V36M, S98F, and V213G in the N-terminal domain, Y505P in the receptor-binding domain, and P681Q near the S1/S2 cleavage site - and additionally evaluated the impact of E340D. V36M conferred the highest infectivity across all cell lines, with the most significant effect in low-TMPRSS2 cells. While all mutations showed enhanced infectivity with the addition of E340D, the effect was most pronounced in mutations with lower baseline infectivity. The addition of E340D significantly decreased relative neutralizing titres for V36M, S98F, and V213G, enabling escape from neutralizing antibodies in XBB-responsive individuals, illustrating an enhanced phenotypic advantage. Patient neutralizing activity was absent pre-sotrovimab, and sotrovimab-induced neutralization was further compromised by selection of E340D. Interpretation: Sotrovimab pre-exposure prophylaxis in an immunocompromised patient did not prevent SARS-CoV-2 infection, and selected for resistant mutation E340D, with unexpected fitness consequences across non-receptor binding domain spike regions.