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Latent Genetic Factors and Causal Pathways Linking Substance Use to Psychiatric and Personality Phenotypes: a Genomic SEM and Mendelian Randomization Study

van Grondelle, K. C.; Tunez, A.; Pasman, J. A.; Wouda, M.; Wesseldijk, L. W.; Lin, B. D.; Goula, A. A.; Verweij, K. J. H.; Luykx, J. J.

2026-10-05 psychiatry and clinical psychology
10.64898/2026.09.28.26364160 medRxiv
Show abstract

Substance use and psychiatric disorders frequently co-occur, but establishing causality of their relationships is difficult given the multifactorial nature of these traits. To assess these relationships, we applied two genetically informed methods using the largest available European-ancestry genome-wide association studies of six substance use behaviors and twelve psychiatric and personality phenotypes. Using Genomic Structural Equation Modelling, we modelled the latent genetic architecture of the psychiatric and personality traits and examined these factors' correlations with substance use traits. A structure with three factors fit the data best: F1 (PTSD, MDD, GAD, ADHD, agreeableness), F2 (BD, SCZ, OCD, openness), and F3 (OCD, GAD, extraversion, neuroticism), which showed differential correlations with substance use. Smoking correlated significantly which each factor, however, strongest with F1, alcohol use showed weak but significant correlations with F1 and F2, and cannabis use showed moderate correlations with F1 and F2, but strongest with F2. Using Mendelian Randomization, we examined bidirectional causal relationships. We found strong evidence that smoking continuation was causally associated with increased bipolar disorder risk, cigarettes per day with increased schizophrenia, and smoking initiation with increased extraversion and decreased agreeableness. Genetic liability to schizophrenia and PTSD were causally associated with increased risk of cannabis use, and schizophrenia with increased alcohol use. Liability to neuroticism, openness and agreeableness was causally linked to smoking behaviors, and extraversion to cannabis use. Most remaining associations showed weak causal evidence, largely due to heterogeneity and pleiotropy. Together, these findings provide evidence for both shared genetic liability and, for a subset of relationships, direct causal effects between substance use behaviors, psychiatric disorders, and personality traits, which can help inform future intervention and prevention research.

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