Percentile-Based Fetal Growth Velocity as a Predictor of Adverse Neonatal Outcomes in Fetal Growth Restriction and Small-for-Gestational-Age Pregnancies

Background: Pregnancies complicated by fetal growth restriction are at increased risk of fetal demise and adverse neonatal outcomes. Distinguishing growth-restricted fetuses from constitutionally small ones remains challenging. Given the variability in current diagnostic criteria and the importance of identifying at-risk fetuses, fetal growth velocity has emerged as a predictor of adverse neonatal outcomes. Objective: To evaluate whether percentile-based fetal growth velocity, defined as change in estimated fetal weight percentile per week, predicts adverse neonatal outcomes in pregnancies affected by fetal growth restriction or small-for-gestational-age neonates. The primary aim was to determine the relationship between growth velocity and a composite of adverse neonatal outcomes. Study Design: This was a retrospective cohort study of pregnant patients 18 - 45 years old who delivered between August 2017 to December 2022 in a single healthcare system. Patients were excluded who had fewer than 2 ultrasounds after 16 weeks gestation, genetic or anatomic abnormalities, or a multiple gestation. Results: 300 patients met all inclusion criteria, and most patients (n=199) delivered at the tertiary care center. Three had an intrauterine fetal demise at a mean gestational age of 35w3d. 74 neonates were admitted to the NICU with a mean length of stay of 8.5 days; 29 required respiratory support. No neonatal deaths occurred. In fetuses with initial estimated fetal weight <3rd percentile (n=33), the probability of composite outcome was increased (50%, 95% CI 44.8-55.2) compared to those >50th percentile (5%, 95% CI 3.7-6.6). In the 3-10th and 10 - 50th percentile subgroups with decelerated growth, composite outcome rates were also increased (56.2% and 44.1%) compared to those with neutral or increased growth velocity. Conclusion: Percentile-based fetal growth velocity is a simple calculation that correlates with adverse neonatal outcomes regardless of initial estimated fetal weight. As fetal growth velocity decreased, our cohort saw increased rates of adverse outcomes. Change in EFW percentile normalizes for gestational age and allows ease of clinical interpretation. Decelerated growth identified fetuses at highest risk, suggesting growth velocity as a useful metric in routine surveillance.