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Hypertension Phenotypes in a National Database: A Three-Axis State Model Integrating Diagnosis, Treatment Intensity, and Blood Pressure Control (The NDB-K7Ps-Study-8)

nakajima, K.; Sekine, A.

2026-07-19 cardiovascular medicine
10.64898/2026.07.16.26358276 medRxiv
Show abstract

Hypertension is commonly defined as a binary condition despite substantial heterogeneity in diagnosis, treatment, and blood pressure (BP) control. We propose a three-axis state model integrating diagnosis status, treatment intensity, and BP control to better characterize hypertension phenotypes. The framework generates 27 possible states that can be condensed into seven clinically meaningful groups. We applied the model to 5,129,584 Japanese adults using the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups. Hierarchical cluster analysis, sensitivity analysis excluding patients with cardiovascular diseases other than hypertension, and validation against antihypertensive medication use were performed. Overall, 64% of participants were classified as normotensive, whereas 36% belonged to hypertension-related groups, including 11% with unrecognized hypertension and 7% with diagnosed but untreated hypertension. Agreement with data-driven hierarchical cluster analysis was substantial (weighted {kappa}=0.87). The group distribution remained largely unchanged in the sensitivity analysis, supporting the robustness of the proposed classification. Hypertension diagnosis also showed high validity, with a sensitivity of 96.5%, specificity of 91.8%, and substantial agreement with antihypertensive medication use ({kappa}=0.78). This three-axis framework provides a robust and clinically interpretable approach for characterizing hypertension phenotypes, enabling systematic identification of care gaps and supporting research, clinical decision-making, and population health management.

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