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Temporal Variation in Mosquito Vector Population Dynamics in Urban Areas

Wang, S.; Carruth, S. G.; Vasquez, C.; Townsend, J.; Raman, V.; Mutebi, J.-P.; Ajelli, M.; Wilke, A. B. B.

2026-07-14 ecology
10.64898/2026.07.13.738234 bioRxiv
Show abstract

Locally acquired arboviral infections are an increasing public health concern in the United States. Aedes aegypti and Culex quinquefasciatus, vectors of dengue virus and West Nile virus, respectively, are established in regions where local transmission has been reported. Seasonal variation in mosquito abundance affects vector density, human-vector contact, and arbovirus transmission risk. The aim of this study is to investigate seasonal variations in Ae. aegypti and Cx. quinquefasciatus population dynamics in Miami-Dade County, Florida; Maricopa County, Arizona; and Clark County, Nevada. Monthly relative abundance, average mosquitoes collected per trap-night, normalized abundance ratios, and seasonal-trend decomposition were used to evaluate species- and location-specific seasonal patterns. Mosquito population dynamics differed by species and location. In Miami-Dade County, the two species showed seasonal turnover, with Cx. quinquefasciatus peaking during winter and spring and Ae. aegypti peaking during summer. In Maricopa and Clark counties, both species peaked primarily between August and September. Species dominance also differed by site, with Ae. aegypti more abundant than Cx. quinquefasciatus in Maricopa County and Cx. quinquefasciatus more abundant than Ae. aegypti in Clark and Miami-Dade counties. Seasonal decomposition showed that Ae. aegypti peaked earlier in Miami-Dade County than in Maricopa and Clark counties, whereas Cx. quinquefasciatus showed a spring peak in Miami-Dade County and bimodal seasonal patterns in Maricopa and Clark counties. These results suggest that mosquito population dynamics are species- and location-specific and support the use of local surveillance data to guide the timing of mosquito control and arbovirus preparedness.

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