Back

Development and Evaluation of Artificial Intelligence-Assisted Decision Support System for Public Health Emergency Classification and Escalation in Kenya

Nanyingi, M.; Osoro, E.; Siwo, G. H.; Ngere, I.; Kadivane, S.; Magige, J.; Kamau, J.; Jain, S.; Nyawanda, B. O.; Njoroge, J. W.; Njeru, I.; Kasera, K.; Kanana, V.; Kimenye, K.

2026-07-10 public and global health
10.64898/2026.07.07.26357475 medRxiv
Show abstract

Background Timely assessment, classification, and escalation of public health events are essential for effective outbreak response, yet decision-making after event detection remains challenging because of fragmented guidance and variable interpretation of escalation criteria.To strengthen public health emergency management, Kenya developed the Decision-Making Tool for Public Health Emergencies (DMT-PHE), a framework for event assessment, classification, notification, and escalation. An artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled version, the DMT-PHE AI Agent, was subsequently developed to operationalize the framework through decision support. This study describes the development of the DMT-PHE AI Agent and evaluates its performance, usability, safety, and user acceptability. Methods The DMT-PHE AI Agent was developed using a retrieval-augmented generation architecture supported by a curated knowledge base derived from the validated DMT-PHE framework and related public health guidance. A simulation-based pilot evaluation was conducted among 11 public health professionals who independently assessed three standardized outbreak scenarios. AI-generated recommendations were compared with expert-defined gold standards. Outcomes included concordance, response-action coverage, citation performance, safety, usability, and user acceptability. Results Thirty-three scenario evaluations were completed. The AI Agent achieved an overall weighted concordance score of 0.924, with exact agreement of 90.9% for Public Health Events of Initially Unknown Etiology, 81.8% for Rift Valley fever, and 90.9% for Mpox. Citation support was provided in 78.8% of interactions, with no incorrect citations or major safety concerns identified. The mean System Usability Scale score was 85.2, while participants reported high trust (4.27/5), contextual relevance (4.55/5), and perceived time savings (4.82/5). Conclusions The DMT-PHE AI Agent demonstrated that a nationally validated public health emergency decision framework can be successfully translated into an AI-enabled decision-support system. These findings provide early evidence that AI can augment public health emergency decision-making by delivering structured, transparent, and context-specific recommendations while maintaining human oversight, offering a practical model for operationalizing national public health guidance.

Matching journals

The top 5 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

1
PLOS Global Public Health
344 papers in training set
Top 0.6%
22.6%
2
PLOS ONE
5266 papers in training set
Top 10%
18.7%
3
Journal of Medical Internet Research
87 papers in training set
Top 0.6%
4.1%
4
Frontiers in Public Health
148 papers in training set
Top 1%
3.6%
5
PLOS Digital Health
106 papers in training set
Top 1%
3.5%
50% of probability mass above
6
The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
68 papers in training set
Top 0.4%
3.3%
7
Epidemics
116 papers in training set
Top 0.7%
3.3%
8
BMC Medicine
176 papers in training set
Top 1%
2.8%
9
BMC Public Health
158 papers in training set
Top 2%
2.7%
10
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases
466 papers in training set
Top 3%
2.7%
11
BMJ Global Health
113 papers in training set
Top 1%
2.7%
12
Public Health
36 papers in training set
Top 0.2%
2.4%
13
Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness
16 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
1.8%
14
Frontiers in Digital Health
24 papers in training set
Top 0.8%
1.7%
15
Scientific Reports
3612 papers in training set
Top 58%
1.5%
16
BMC Infectious Diseases
133 papers in training set
Top 3%
1.5%
17
DIGITAL HEALTH
17 papers in training set
Top 0.6%
1.1%
18
JMIR Public Health and Surveillance
45 papers in training set
Top 1%
1.1%
19
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
128 papers in training set
Top 4%
1.1%
20
PLOS Computational Biology
1863 papers in training set
Top 19%
1.0%
21
BMC Health Services Research
51 papers in training set
Top 2%
0.6%
22
Infectious Disease Modelling
54 papers in training set
Top 1%
0.6%