Genomes of Betacoronavirus gravedinis from white-footed mice in New York City and a phylogenetically weighted model of its probable distribution in North America

Rodents are an important reservoir of zoonotic viruses and are ubiquitously present in densely populated urban areas. Betacoronaviruses in the Embecovirus lineage are well known to infect both humans and animals and have established rodent reservoirs. Here three Betacoronavirus gravedinis genomes were sequenced and characterized in white footed mice (Peromyscus leucopus, commonly white footed mice) collected in New York City, the second most populous city in North America. The genomes were distinct from mouse hepatitis virus (MHV), the prototype mouse betacoronavirus, and highly similar and identical in one case to previously characterized B. gravedinis sequences from white footed mice in Connecticut. Codon aware evolutionary models were used to identify specific sites under positive selection within the spike protein of B. gravedinis. A novel method was developed to predict the probable geographic distribution of the virus using publicly available data from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility to generate a weighted distribution map highlighting overlapping potential host ranges based on the evolutionary distance using a high resolution cytocrome B (CYTB) phylogeny of rodent species with potentially overlapping ranges. Our models predict three current hotspots of circulation in North America under different possible transmission regimes, and an additional fourth hotspot was predicted to arise in a warming future. This study highlights the continued need for biodiversity-informed surveillance of potential zoonotic pathogens in rodents.