Understanding Timing of Autism Diagnosis: Impact of Sociodemographic Factors, Verbal Ability, and Sex

Background: Female individuals tend to be diagnosed with autism later. One factor suggested to contribute to diagnostic timing is verbal ability, in which autistic females may show strengths relative to male peers. Social drivers of health (SDOH) predict higher verbal skills, yet access to resources may facilitate diagnosis; thus, SDOH likely contributes to diagnostic timing in complex ways. We use data from two autism cohorts with substantial representation of those assigned female at birth (AFAB) to examine interactions among assigned sex at birth (sex), verbal IQ (VIQ), and SDOH in predicting autism diagnostic timing. Methods: We used multiple linear regression to examine sex assigned at birth and VIQ as predictors of diagnostic timing in an assigned-sex-balanced research sample (N=164, AFAB: 71) and an independent clinical sample (N=641, AFAB: 177). We hypothesized VIQ would positively predict diagnostic age, particularly among AFAB. Available data in the clinical sample also permitted us to explore the contributions of SDOH and inclusion criteria to model fit in this cohort. Results: In the research sample, VIQ, but not sex, positively predicted diagnostic age. In the clinical sample, VIQ and VIQ x SDOH, but not sex, predicted diagnostic age. Fitting the same model in a subsample of the clinical cohort formed by applying exclusion criteria used in the research sample (N=484, AFAB: 110), VIQ x SDOH x Sex became significant. For AFAB, higher VIQ and lower SDOH together were associated with later diagnosis in the clinical subsample, while for AMAB the opposite was true. Conclusions: Autistic youth with strong verbal ability may experience diagnostic delays. SDOH interacts with VIQ in a complex fashion, with lower SDOH generally exacerbating the tendency for VIQ to be associated with later diagnosis across a large clinical sample. However, among autistic youth without complicating medical factors or intellectual disability, this relationship is dependent upon sex.