Mental Health Outcomes of Foster and Adopted Individuals with Adverse Childhood Experiences: A Validation of Known Risks Using EHR Data

Background: Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) are traumatic or adverse events in early life that can have lasting effects on behavioral, emotional, and psychological functioning. Prior research suggests ACEs relate to later psychiatric outcomes through threshold, cumulative, and individual-specific risk patterns. Few studies, however, have operationalized all three models to test ACE-specific associations with diagnosed psychiatric disorders in individuals who are adopted or with foster care histories. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional retrospective study using electronic health record data from foster care and adopted patients aged 0-21 years old seen at the University of Minnesota Adoption Medicine Clinic (UMN-AMC) between 2014-2024. Extracted measures included ACE history, demographics, and psychiatric diagnoses. We used latent class analysis and logistic regression to identify clusters of adversity and estimate associations with psychiatric diagnosis domains, adjusting for Sex and Age at Initial Visit. Results: ACEs showed a threshold pattern across psychiatric domains, with higher ACE counts associated with greater odds of psychiatric diagnoses. Individual risk modeling indicated that exposure to abuse or violence was associated with higher odds of psychiatric diagnoses. Across cumulative and individual risk approaches, Anxiety Disorders, Mood Disorders, and Behavioral or Emotional Disorders showed the greatest sensitivity to adversity. Conclusion: Current ACE models may not fully capture neurodevelopmental impacts reflected in diagnosed psychiatric disorders among adolescents, particularly in high-risk groups such as foster and adopted individuals. In a large clinic sample our findings support a nuanced association between ACEs and later psychiatric diagnoses and highlight the need for ACE-focused assessment, prevention, and treatment strategies tailored to foster care and adopted populations.