Monitoring data indicates some annual change in the mammal fauna at Nitmiluk National Park between 2005 and 2018 but a reduction in effort confounds any interpretation

ContextThe decline, extirpation and extinction of Australias mammal fauna is without peer. In recent decades long term monitoring has revealed tragic patterns in iconic locations such as Kakadu National Park. AimsPast studies have described universal patterns across multiple national parks in the Northern Territory, linking the declines to fire management; however, much of the data in Nitmiluk National Park do not cover the period that encompasses this decline. We examine this data separately to look for patterns with respect to fire history. MethodsWe examined standardised mammal survey data collected in Nitmiluk from 2005 to 2018, to look for correlates with year of survey, time since last burnt, and the frequency of early season and late season burns. Key resultsDespite subtle difference in methods over the years, we found there were some annual changes in the mammals, but little discernible pattern of change correlated to fire regime (which itself indicated an improvement in seasonality, and the extent of burning overall over this period). Instead, there was a distinct reduction in the survey effort. ConclusionsOur study provides further support for the pitfalls of ecological monitoring losing focus, being decoupled from management actions, and allowing ill-conceived changes in design. We recommend that future monitoring at Nitmiluk should focus on key management questions (i.e., fire), best methods for target taxa (i.e. camera traps), more regular and flexible sampling linked to a conceptual model, and integration and co-design with the local land managers, rangers and Traditional Owners. Short SummaryRe-examination of the mammal data collected in monitoring sites at Nitmiluk National Park between 2005 to 2018 indicated little pattern with fire regime over time, and instead indicated that a reduction in effort, had reduced the ability to find pattern With sparse and declining mammal population in northern Australia, future monitoring needs to be focused on key management questions.