Inequalities in early childhood developmental concerns before, during and after the COVID-19 pandemic in Scotland: a retrospective cohort study

BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic was associated with increased child developmental concerns in Scotland. However, it is not known whether this increase was uniform across social groups, and there is particular concern that children from low-income households, urban areas and ethnic minority groups may have been disproportionately affected. This retrospective, population-based, cohort study aimed to examine whether the pandemic was associated with changes in developmental inequalities in Scotland. Study designWe linked national birth records, the COVID-19 in Pregnancy in Scotland (COPS) dataset, and 13-15 month and 27-30 month child health review records, covering all children born in Scotland who undertook reviews between January 2019 and August 2023 and had full developmental data. Logistic regression models estimated inequalities in odds of developmental concerns, before, during and after the pandemic and across Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) quintiles, parental National Statistics Socioeconomic Classification (NS-SEC), urban-rural classification, child ethnicity and child sex. Interaction analysis formally tested for any significant changes in inequalities. FindingsThe analyses included 254,367 children, covering 13-15 month child health review records for 183,439 children and 27-30 month child health review records for 184,689 children. Children in more deprived SIMD quintiles and lower parental NS-SEC categories had significantly higher odds of developmental concerns, as did African and Asian children (at 27-30 months only). Children who were female and in rural areas (27-30 months only) had significantly lower odds of developmental concerns. Developmental inequalities were broadly consistent at each time point and interaction analysis suggested that there was no widening of inequalities during or after the pandemic. ConclusionsDevelopmental inequalities in Scotland did not widen during or after the COVID-19 pandemic. However, substantial pre-existing inequalities persist, underscoring the need for interventions to reduce disparities and support national policy goals on child development.