Inequality in healthy lifespan following surgery: a longitudinal population study

Background Surgery is a widely used treatment option but the impact of surgery on long-term disease across socioeconomic groups is unknown. Methods Longitudinal population study using linked primary and secondary care data describing adults ([≥]18 years) in England recorded in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) between 1st January 2012 and 31st December 2021. Socioeconomic deprivation was defined using the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD). The exposure was surgery and primary outcome was long-term disease. Data are presented as n (%), median (IQR), and adjusted hazards ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals. Findings Of 18,329,659 people, 8,951,145 (48.8%) underwent surgery. 78.6% of index surgeries were elective (n=7,032,475), 21.4% were emergency (n=1,918,670). Amongst surgical patients, 4,741,188 (52.0%) were women, 3,540,136 (39.6%) from the most deprived deciles (IMD 1-4) and 994,595 (11.1%) from a minority ethnic group. Age-standardised rates of surgery were higher in deprived individuals (comparative rate ratio IMD 1 vs. IMD 10 elective: 1.11 (95% CI 1.11-1.11), emergency: 1.54 (1.54-1.54)). Age at first surgery was 42 (27-60) years for elective and 42 (25-65) years for emergency surgery overall, but lower for people from IMD 1-4 (elective: 39 (26-57) years, emergency: 38 (24-60) years). Rates of long-term disease increased following both elective (baseline 19.6%, three years 24.5%) and emergency surgery (baseline 10.3%, three years 12.3%). Risk of new long-term disease following surgery increased with increasing levels of deprivation (IMD 1 vs. IMD 10 elective: HR 1.46 (1.45-1.48), emergency: HR 1.46 (1.44-1.48)). Interpretation Surgical treatment is strongly associated with the onset of long-term disease and factors which limit healthy life expectancy. Surgery occurs at a younger age among socioeconomically deprived groups and may be linked to health inequalities. Similar but more complex patterns of inequality were seen in minority ethnic groups. Funding Barts Charity and UK Academy of Medical Sciences.