The associations between recreational water contact, water quality measures, and acute gastrointestinal illness among Canadian beachgoers: a prospective cohort study

Background: Beaches are popular summertime destinations in Canada. However, they can be affected by specific fecal pollution sources, increasing the risk of recreational water illness. Objectives: This study was conducted to determine the risks of acute gastrointestinal illness (AGI) among Canadian beachgoers and to evaluate the influence of different fecal indicator bacteria (FIB) and other water quality measures on assessing these risks. Methods: In a prospective cohort design, beachgoers were recruited at sites across Canada from 2023 to 2025. Sociodemographic characteristics and exposures were determined through an on-site survey, with a 7-day follow-up survey to determine risks of AGI. Bayesian mixed-effects logistic regression models were fitted to evaluate the effects of an ordinal water contact variable (no contact, minimal contact, body immersion, and swallowed water) on the incident risk of AGI, with an interaction included for water quality indicators. The levels of six FIB and water quality measures were assessed: Escherichia coli, enterococci DNA, three microbial source tracking DNA markers (human HF183/BacR287, human mitochondria, seagull Gull4), and turbidity. Results: A total of 4085 participants were recruited, with 67.6% completing the follow-up survey. The overall incident risk of AGI was 2.6%. Both swallowing water and body immersion increased AGI risks compared to no water contact: median of 20 excess cases (95% Credible Interval [CrI]: 4, 64) and 5 excess cases (95% CrI: 1, 19) of AGI predicted per 1000 beachgoers, respectively. Escherichia coli and seagull DNA marker levels were associated with AGI among those who had water contact, particularly among those who reported swallowing water. Discussion: While the overall burden of AGI due to beach water contact in Canada was low, increased risks are associated with E. coli levels particularly among those who swallow water. This could be related to fecal contamination from seagulls. However, there is substantial uncertainty in the predicted effect sizes.