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Influenza vaccine effectiveness against influenza A-associated hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes among adults in the United States, 2024-2025

Lewis, N. M.; Cleary, S.; Harker, E. J.; Safdar, B.; Ginde, A. A.; Peltan, I. D.; Gaglani, M.; Columbus, C.; Martin, E. T.; Lauring, A. S.; Steingrub, J. S.; Hager, D. N.; Mohamed, A.; Johnson, N. J.; Khan, A.; Duggal, A.; Wilson, J. G.; Qadir, N.; Busse, L. W.; Kwon, J. H.; Exline, M. C.; Vaughn, I. A.; Mosier, J. M.; Harris, E. S.; Zhu, Y.; Grijalva, C. G.; Halasa, N. B.; Chappell, J.; Surie, D.; Dawood, F. S.; Ellington, S. R.; Self, W. H.

2026-04-02 infectious diseases
10.64898/2026.03.31.26349873 medRxiv
Show abstract

Background: The U.S. 2024-2025 influenza season was characterized by sustained elevated activity from November 2024 to April 2025, with circulation of both influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2), the latter of which included some antigenically drifted viruses. Methods: From October 1, 2024, to April 30, 2025, a multistate respiratory virus surveillance network enrolled adults hospitalized with acute respiratory illness in 26 U.S. medical centers. Influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) against influenza-associated hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes was estimated using a test-negative study. The odds of influenza vaccination among influenza-positive case patients and influenza-negative control patients were compared using multivariable logistic regression; VE was calculated as (1-adjusted odds ratio for vaccination) x 100, expressed as a percent. Results: The 2024-2025 seasonal influenza vaccine was effective against influenza-associated hospitalization (VE: 40% [95% confidence interval (CI): 32%-47%]), consistent across age group and influenza A subtypes. Influenza vaccination also reduced the overall risk of all severe in-hospital outcomes evaluated, including standard oxygen therapy (VE: 41% [95% CI: 31%-50%]), non-invasive advanced respiratory support (VE: 38% [95% CI: 19%-52%]), invasive organ support (VE: 58% [95% CI: 44%-69%]), ICU admission (VE: 58% [95% CI: 47%-67%]), and death (VE: 52% [95% CI: 18%-71%]) with effectiveness varying by influenza A subtype and age. Conclusions: Influenza vaccination reduced the risk of influenza-related hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes in adults during the severe 2024-2025 influenza season compared to those not vaccinated.

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