Course of Itch from Systemic Sclerosis Onset: a Scleroderma Patient-Centred Intervention Network Cohort Longitudinal Study

Background: Itch in systemic sclerosis (SSc) is thought to be most significant in early disease, but no longitudinal studies have examined itch course. We estimated itch presence and severity from SSc disease onset, accounting for participant age and time since onset at each assessment. Methods: People with SSc from the multinational Scleroderma Patient-centred Intervention Network Cohort completed past-week itch severity assessments (0 to 10 numerical rating scale) at enrolment and longitudinally at 3-month intervals. To estimate itch probability (score > 0) and, if present, itch severity, we used two-stage mixed effects models with basis splines to address non-linearity. The primary predictor was age at each assessment, partitioned into age at non-Raynaud phenomenon symptom onset and time since onset. We estimated prevalence and severity for onset ages of 20, 30, 40, 50 and 60 years and, for each onset age, at 2 years, 3 years, 4 years, 5 years, 7 years, and 5-year intervals 10 years to 35 years post-onset. Findings: We included 2173 participants with 19 733 itch assessments (mean [standard deviation] 9.1 [6.9] assessments). 1896 of 2173 (87.3%) participants were women. Mean age at enrolment was 54.7 (SD 12.7) years. 873 (40.2%) participants had diffuse cutaneous SSc. Predicted itch probability was between 35.0% (95% CI 31.8% to 38.5%) and 36.8% (95% CI 33.3% to 40.4%) at all onset age and disease duration combinations. Mean itch severity, when present, was moderate, between 4.1 (95% CI 4.1 to 4.1) and 4.4 (95% CI 4.3 to 4.4), for all age and duration combinations. Interpretation: Itch prevalence and mean severity were stable across onset ages and over time within onset ages. Findings suggest that itch is common in SSc and not as closely related to disease duration as previously thought. Research is needed to elucidate itch pathophysiology and identify effective management strategies.