MOE-ECG: Multi-Objective Ensemble Fusion for Robust Atrial Fibrillation Detection Using Electrocardiograms

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AFib) is the most common sustained arrhythmia in the world, imposing a heavy clinical and economic burden on global healthcare systems. Early detection of AFib can reduce mortality and morbidity, while helping to alleviate the growing economic burden of cardiovascular diseases. With the increasing availability of digital health technologies, computational solutions have great potential to support the timely diagnosis of cardiac abnormalities. Objectives: With the increasing availability of electrocardiogram (ECG) data from clinical and wearable devices, manual interpretation has become impractical due to its time-consuming and subjective nature. Existing automated approaches often rely on single classifiers or fixed ensembles that primarily optimize predictive accuracy while neglecting model diversity, which leads to limited robustness and generalization across heterogeneous datasets. Therefore, this study aims to develop a robust and diversity-aware framework for automatic AFib detection that simultaneously improves classification performance and model generalizability. To this end, we propose MOE-ECG, a multi-objective ensemble selection and fusion framework that explicitly optimizes both predictive performance and inter-model diversity for reliable AFib detection from ECG recordings. Methods: The proposed multi-objective ensemble (MOE) framework uses ensemble selection as a bi-objective optimization problem and employs multi-objective particle swarm optimization to identify complementary classifiers from a heterogeneous model pool. Unlike conventional ensembles, it explicitly optimizes both predictive performance and diversity and integrates Dempster-Shafer theory for uncertainty-aware decision fusion. After filtering the ECG signals to remove baseline wander and noise, they were segmented into windows of 20, 60, and 120 heartbeats with 50% overlap. The proposed approach was evaluated over five independent runs to assess its stability and generalization. Fifteen statistical and nonlinear features were obtained from the RR-intervals of the pre-processed ECG signals, of which eight features were selected with correlation analysis to capture subtle information from the ECG data. We trained and evaluated the performance of the proposed model in three open source databases, namely, the MIT-BIH Atrial Fibrillation Database, Saitama Heart Database Atrial Fibrillation, and Long-Term AF Database. Results: The proposed approach achieved the best overall performance on 60-beat segments, with an average accuracy of 89.85%, precision of 91.14%, recall of 94.19%, an F1-score of 92.64%, and area under the curve (AUC) of around 0.95. Statistical analysis using Holm-adjusted Wilcoxon tests confirmed significant improvements (p<0.05) compared to both the best individual classifier and the unoptimized average ensemble of all classifiers. These findings show that the proposed selection and evaluation methodology, rather than group aggregation alone, is the key driver of performance improvements. Conclusion: The results obtained demonstrate that the MOE-ECG model offers a robust, accurate, and reliable solution for the detection of AFib from short ECG segments. The empirical findings, in general, confirm that multi-objective ensemble fusion enhances diagnostic performance and offers robust predictions that will open up possibilities for real-time AFib detection in clinical and tele-health settings.