The Stability and Predictive Value of Negative Symptom Dimensions in First-Episode Psychosis: A 5-Year Follow-Up Study

Background: Diminished Expression (DE) and Amotivation/Apathy (AA) are widely recognized as two main factors of negative symptoms. This study aimed to 1) examine the longitudinal stability of the DE-AA structure and its variation throughout a 5-year follow-up in people with first-episode psychosis (FEP), and 2) investigate whether DE and AA have distinct predictive value compared with the unitary construct of negative symptoms. Study Design: 227 participants from the EUropean Network of National Schizophrenia Networks Studying Gene-Environment Interactions (EU-GEI) and Genetics and Psychosis (GAP) studies were included at FEP and were followed up 5 years later. One-factor (global negative symptoms), uncorrelated two-factor (DE-AA), and correlated two-factor structures were modelled using confirmatory factor analysis. Regression analyses were applied to examine the associations between these factors and negative symptom trajectories, functioning, and quality-of-life outcomes. Study Results: The correlated two-factor model composed of DE and AA best fitted the data and exhibited 5-year stability. The regression model adjusted for AA accounted for more variance (59.2%) than global negative symptoms (52.8%) in explaining the enduring course of negative symptoms. Baseline AA was the only negative symptom factor that significantly predicted individuals' functional outcome at follow-up (B=-1.76, p=0.037). All negative symptom dimensions negatively predicted employment status, whereas lower educational attainment was primarily related to AA severity at baseline. Conclusions: Our findings support the validity and longitudinal stability of the two-dimensional (DE-AA) approach to negative symptoms in individuals with FEP. AA in particular exhibited distinctive predictive value, underscoring its potential clinical utility for early identification and the development of targeted interventions.