Constructing a Literature-Derived Database for Benchmarking Polygenic Risk Score Construction Methods with Spectral Ranking Inferences
Sebastian, C.; Yu, M.; Jin, J.
Show abstract
Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) have emerged as a valuable tool for genetic risk prediction and stratification in human diseases. Over the past decade, extensive methodological efforts have focused on improving the predictive power of PRS, leading to the development of numerous methods for PRS construction. Benchmarking these various methods thus becomes an essential task that is crucial for guiding future PRS applications. While studies have benchmarked subsets of these methods on specific phenotypes and cohorts, the resulting evidence remains fragmented, with a lack of work that comprehensively assess the relative performance of the various PRS methods. In this study, we addressed this gap by systematically constructing a PRS method benchmarking database synthesizing published results from 2009 to 2025. We applied a spectral ranking inference framework with uncertainty quantification to rank 14 PRS methods that had been adequately compared against each other in the literature. We constructed rankings using two complementary sources: original method-development studies and applications/benchmarking studies. While the highest-ranked methods (LDpred2 and AnnoPred) and the lowest-ranked method (C+T) were consistently identified from both sources, the relative ordering of most methods showed moderate variability. We further constructed phenotype-specific rankings, providing more detailed insights into the robustness and phenotype-specific strengths of individual methods. Collectively, the overall and phenotype-specific rankings of the PRS methods, along with the curated benchmarking data from the literature, provide a dynamic and practical reference database that can continuingly be updated with emerging new PRS methods and published benchmarking results to guide future PRS applications.
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