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Meta-Analyses and Meta-Regression Analyses Revealed that Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic Fever Disease Associates with Coagulopathy Independently of Thrombocytopenia

Khafaji, R.; Khafaji, S.; Ubayis, R. S.; Witwit, S. R.; Witwit, E.; Jawad, A.; Mosnier, L.; de la Torre, J. C.; Witwit, H.

2026-01-26 infectious diseases
10.64898/2026.01.24.26344481 medRxiv
Show abstract

Crimean Congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF) disease, caused by CCHF virus (CCHFV), poses a significant fatality risk whose underlying pathological mechanisms, including the contribution of coagulation factors imbalances and platelets abnormalities, remain poorly understood. Here we present a meta-analysis and meta-regression analysis using clinical data from coagulation assays and platelet parameters as predictive disease indices with the goal of uncovering pathognomonic factors and to pave a path for the development of effective therapeutic approaches. MethodsWe systematically analyzed published studies reporting coagulation assays and platelet indices in patients with confirmed CCHF. Data from 1,779 patients across published studies were analyzed to assess associations between laboratory parameters and fatality risk, while evaluating heterogeneity and prognostic significance. ResultsFatal outcomes were strongly associated with elevated liver enzymes (AST: 1116.71 {+/-} 1454.08 IU/mL; ALT: 446.56 {+/-} 457.41 IU/mL) and prolonged clotting times (PT: 19.53 {+/-} 6.57 s; aPTT: 64.02 {+/-} 23.13 s; INR: 1.53 {+/-} 0.56). D-dimer levels did not significantly predict fatality. Thrombocytopenia and coagulopathy emerged as independent risk factors for adverse outcomes. Notably, protein C and protein S levels did not differ between survivors and non-survivors, suggesting that the coagulopathy is not purely consumptive or a result of impaired hepatic synthesis. In contrast, mildly reduced antithrombin levels (83.65 {+/-} 19.90) were weighted toward increased mortality. Simple SummaryCrimean-Congo Hemorrhagic Fever (CCHF) causes high mortality through hemorrhage, but whether this reflects thrombocytopenia alone or combined coagulopathy remains unclear. We conducted meta-analyses of studies each of coagulation parameters (PT, aPTT, INR, fibrinogen, D-dimer, protein C and protein S, antithrombin) from survivors vs non-survivors. Fatal cases showed combined thrombocytopenia and coagulopathy (elevated PT/aPTT/INR, reduced fibrinogen/antithrombin) and liver damage (elevated AST/ALT). Protein C and protein S were unaffected, suggesting complex mechanisms beyond simple consumption or hepatic failure. These findings indicate coagulopathy contributes independently of thrombocytopenia to CCHF hemorrhage, supporting combined platelet and coagulation factor replacement therapy.

Published in Zoonotic Diseases · not in our set (fewer than 10 published preprints to learn from) · training set

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