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Performance evaluation of RespiCast ensemble forecasts for primary care syndromic indicators of viral respiratory disease in Europe during the 2023/24 winter season

2025-11-02 epidemiology Title + abstract only
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In 2023 the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) launched RespiCast, the first European Respiratory Diseases Forecasting Hub, to provide probabilistic forecasts for influenza-like illness (ILI) and acute respiratory infection (ARI) incidence across 26 European countries. During the 2023/24 and 2024/25 winter seasons, RespiCast collected one- to four-week-ahead forecasts from multiple models contributed by different international teams and combined them into an ensemble. Our ...

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