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Measuring the Impact of Global R&D Investment in Product Development Partnerships (PDPs): A Case Study on Return on Investment in Antimalarial Drug Development

Christen, P.; Audibert, C.; Mulligan, J.-A.; Bubb-Humfryes, O.; von Drehle, C.; Conteh, L.

2025-06-17 health economics
10.1101/2025.06.17.25329737 medRxiv
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BackgroundProduct Development Partnerships (PDPs) are non-profit organizations that bridge the gap between the need for new treatments for poverty-related diseases and the resources available to develop them, leveraging a mix of public, philanthropic, multilateral, and private sector funding. This paper describes how two financial metrics were used to estimate the return on investments of drugs developed by the PDP Medicines for Malaria Venture (MMV) as a case study. MethodsThe internal rate of return (IRR) and benefit-cost ratio (BCR) were used to estimate the economic return on investment for the PDP. IRR was based on total investments from 2000 to 2023 and health gains derived from PDP-supported drugs, measured as monetized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) minus the delivery cost of the products. BCR was calculated by dividing the present value of monetized DALYs by the present value of cost, indicating the overall efficiency and impact of the investments received by MMV. FindingsTotal investment received was $2{middle dot}3 billion over the study period, and the antimalarial drugs developed and launched with the support of MMV averted an estimated 1{middle dot}6 million deaths and 87 million DALYs for a cost of delivery estimated at $785 million. The IRR for the base scenario was 52{middle dot}13% (CI: 52{middle dot}11% - 52{middle dot}16%) and the BCR 12{middle dot}99 (CI: 12{middle dot}92 - 13{middle dot}06). InterpretationThe substantial IRR and BCR generated by investment in antimalarial drug development suggest that the PDP model has a potentially pivotal role to play in global health. FundingNo funding to declare.

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