Electoral outcomes and health inequality: association between respiratory disease and voting patterns in England
Laverty, A.; Hopkinson, N. S.
Show abstract
ObjectivesTo establish if there is an association between health metrics and patterns of voting in England, particularly in relation to a recently established right wing party, Reform UK, in the 2024 general election. DesignEcological cross-sectional study with linear regression SettingEngland Participants543 constituencies in England Main outcome measuresEstimated prevalence of 20 common non-communicable diseases, including obesity, COPD, asthma, type 2 diabetes and depression. ResultsConstituencies electing Reform MPs (n=5/543) had the highest prevalence of Asthma (7.44%) and COPD (2.85%). Across the country, adjusting for age, sex and deprivation, a 10% increase in the partys vote share was associated with a +0.261% (95% Confidence Interval 0.213 to 0.309) prevalence of COPD, a +0.113% (95%CI 0.026 to 0.201) prevalence of asthma and a +1.479% (95%CI 1.239 to 1.720) increase in obesity prevalence. ConclusionsAt a constituency level, poor health, in particular conditions associated with breathlessness, is associated with a greater proportion of votes for Reform UK.
Matching journals
The top 5 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
Similar papers in this journal
- Public acceptability of non-pharmaceutical interventions to control a pandemic in the United Kingdom: a discrete choice experiment 93%
- The risk of COVID hospital admission and COVID mortality during the first COVID 19 wave with a special emphasis on Ethnic Minorities: an observational study of a single, deprived, multi ethnic UK health economy 93%
- Cohort Profile: Born in Wales - a birth cohort with maternity, parental, and child data linkage for life course research in Wales, UK 93%
Similar papers in this journal
- Beyond social prescribing - the use of social return on investment (SROI) analysis in integrated health and social care interventions in England and Wales: a protocol for a systematic review 93%
- Wellbeing Impact Study of High-Speed 2 (WISH2): Protocol for a mixed-methods examination of the impact of major transport infrastructure development on mental health and wellbeing 93%
- Intentional and unintentional non-adherence to social distancing measures during COVID-19: A mixed-methods analysis 92%
Similar papers in this journal
- Challenges to self-isolation among contacts of cases of COVID-19: a national telephone survey in Wales 93%
- Does household income predict health and educational outcomes in childhood better than neighbourhood deprivation? 92%
- Financial toxicity among cancer patients, survivors, and their families in the United Kingdom: a scoping review 91%
Similar papers in this journal
- Characteristics of those most vulnerable to employment changes during the Covid-19 pandemic: a nationally representative cross-sectional study in Wales 94%
- Socioeconomic inequality in recent adverse mortality trends in Scotland. 93%
- Trends in psychological distress in Great Britain, 1991-2019: evidence from three representative surveys 92%
Similar papers in this journal
- Factors associated with adherence to self-isolation and lockdown measures in the UK; a cross-sectional survey 91%
- Factors associated with nonessential workplace attendance during the Covid-19 pandemic in the UK in early 2021: evidence from cross-sectional surveys 91%
- Factors influencing the COVID-19 daily deaths peak across European countries 90%
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.