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Long COVID risk and severity after COVID-19 infections and reinfections in Quebec healthcare workers

Carazo, S.; Ouakki, M.; Nicolakakis, N.; Falcone, E.; Skowronski, D. M.; Durand, M.-J.; Coutu, M.-F.; Decary, S.; Dialahy, I.; Drescher, O.; Canitrot, E.; McGinn, C. A.; Latouche, P.; Laforce, R.; Dallaire, C.; Denis, G.; Piche, A.; De Serres, G.

2025-05-09 epidemiology
10.1101/2025.05.08.25327059 medRxiv
Show abstract

ImportanceLong COVID, a chronic condition following SARS-CoV-2 infection, affects millions of people worldwide and can lead to significant functional impairment. Estimates of long COVID risk after a first COVID-19 infection vary, and data on risk following reinfections remain lacking. ObjectiveTo estimate and compare long COVID risk and severity with first COVID-19 infection versus reinfections among healthcare workers (HCWs). DesignRetrospective cohort study based on an electronic survey among Quebec HCWs conducted between May 16 and June 15, 2023. A short telephone survey among randomly selected non-respondents further assessed potential response bias. SettingPopulation-based study in Quebec, Canada. Participants397 222 HCWs were invited to participate in the electronic survey and 10 500 in the telephone survey. Main outcomes and measuresWe defined long COVID cases as HCWs self-reporting COVID-19-attributed symptoms lasting [≥]12 weeks, classified as mild, moderate, or severe based on perceived symptom intensity. We compared self-reported symptoms and functional limitations of cases to COVID controls (infected participants without long COVID) and non-COVID controls (uninfected participants). Risk and prevalence were estimated by number of infections, likely infecting variant and perceived acute COVID-19 severity. We conducted symptom clustering analyses using unsupervised learning techniques. ResultsEstimated long COVID risk following any COVID-19 infection was similar among 22 496 online survey participants (17.0% [95%CI, 16.3%-17.6%] and 3 978 telephone survey participants (15.9% [14.6%-17.2%]. The cumulative risk increased with the number of infections, but reinfections were associated with three times lower risk of long COVID than first infections. Pre-Omicron infections and severe acute COVID-19 episodes correlated with higher long COVID risk and severity. Among prevalent long COVID cases, 43% were moderate and 33% severe. Compared to controls, dyspnea, neurocognitive symptoms, post-exertional malaise and smell/taste disturbances were most strongly associated with long COVID. Cluster analysis identified seven symptom groups with systemic, neurocognitive, pulmonary, and mood-related clusters being the most prevalent. Severe long COVID cases exhibited multiple symptom clusters and greater functional limitations. ConclusionsLong COVID is a common and disabling condition among HCWs. Societal and healthcare burden remains important and will continue to accrue given ongoing SARS-CoV-2 transmission and long COVID risk with reinfections. KEY POINTSO_ST_ABSQuestionC_ST_ABSDoes the risk and severity of long COVID differ for first COVID-19 infections versus reinfections among healthcare workers in Quebec, Canada? FindingsThe risk of long COVID was [~]15% with first COVID-19 infection, but three-fold lower with reinfections. Risk was higher with COVID-19 infections due to ancestral strains and with more severe acute episodes. Long COVID risk and severity compromised self-rated health, physical capacity and cognitive function. MeaningLong COVID is a common and disabling condition among workers. Societal and healthcare burden remains important and will continue to accrue given ongoing SARS-CoV-2 transmission and long COVID risk with reinfections.

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