Extreme Weather and Healthcare Access in Malawi: The Impact of Precipitation on ANC Service Utilisation
Murray-Watson, R. E.; Molaro, M.; Murray-Watson, R. J.; Mohan, S.; She, B.; Mangal, T. D.; Collins, J. H.; Bhatia, S.; Janouskova, E.; Hallett, T. B.
Show abstract
1Malawi is vulnerable to climate-related shocks, which are projected to worsen. Whilst some dimensions of this vulnerability have been characterised, little is known about healthcare sector resilience. Coupling facility-specific data on antenatal care (ANC) service provision in Malawi with gridded precipitation data, we use regression analyses to characterise the historic relationship between precipitation and healthcare access. We estimate that, between 2012 and 2024, precipitation negatively impacted ANC service utilisation in Malawi, with up to 1 in 20 appointments disrupted annually in some districts. Projecting further to 2060 indicates that, cumulatively, up to 250,000 pregnancies could be affected. Notably, if precipitation patterns from 1941-1953 had persisted into the 21st century, disruptions between 2012 -- 2024 would be a hundred times less frequent, highlighting the significant influence of anthropogenic climate change on healthcare access. In a country already facing high maternal and neonatal mortality, such disruptions could further hinder access to care and worsen health outcomes.
Matching journals
The top 1 journal accounts for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
Similar papers in this journal
- The Role of Modelling and Analytics in South African COVID-19 Planning and Budgeting 94%
- Impact of four years of annually repeated indoor residual spraying (IRS) with Actellic 300CS on routinely reported malaria cases in an agricultural setting in Malawi 94%
- Improving the efficiency of scale-up and deployment of community health workers in Mali: a geospatial analysis 93%
Similar papers in this journal
- An in-depth statistical analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic’s initial spread in the WHO African region 93%
- Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and response on the utilisation of health services during the first wave in Kinshasa, the Democratic Republic of the Congo 93%
- Geographic barriers to establishing a successful hospital referral system in rural Madagascar 93%
Similar papers in this journal
- Climatic suitability predictions for the cultivation of macadamia in Malawi using climate change scenarios. 95%
- Using Google Health Trends to investigate COVID-19 incidence in Africa 93%
- The aggregate effect of implementation strength of family planning programs on modern contraceptive use at the health systems level in rural Malawi 93%
Similar papers in this journal
- Combining participatory mapping and route optimization algorithms to inform the delivery of community health interventions at the last mile 93%
- Impact of a pilot mHealth intervention on treatment outcomes of TB patients seeking care in the private sector using Propensity Scores Matching – Evidence collated from New Delhi, India 91%
- ePOCT+ and the medAL-suite: Development of an electronic clinical decision support algorithm and digital platform for pediatric outpatients in low- and middle-income countries 91%
Similar papers in this journal
- Use of health care services during the Covid-19 pandemic in Ethiopia: Evidence from a health facility survey 93%
- Protocol for an interdisciplinary cross-sectional study investigating the social, biological and community-level drivers of antimicrobial resistance (AMR): Holistic Approach to Unravelling Antibiotic Resistance in East Africa (HATUA) 93%
- Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Utilization of Facility-Based Essential Maternal and Child Health Services in North Shewa Zone, Ethiopia 92%
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.