Work Requirements and Health: Projected Mortality Impacts of Medicaid Coverage Loss
Pandey, A.; Ye, Y.; Singer, B. H.; Galvani, A. P.
Show abstract
Recent legislative proposals to impose nationwide work requirements for Medicaid eligibility could jeopardize health insurance coverage for over 36 million low-income Americans. To assess the potential mortality impact, we estimated annual excess deaths under a comprehensive set of scenarios reflecting varying policy implementations. These scenarios accounted for differences in age groups (19-55 vs. 19-64), eligibility based on Medicaid expansion status, and varying levels of automatic exemptions and reporting compliance. In the most optimistic scenarios--where work requirements are applied only to Medicaid expansion enrollees--we project 4,936 and 10,851 excess deaths annually among individuals aged 19-55 and 19-64, respectively. Under the most regressive scenario, where work requirements are imposed on all non-disabled Medicaid enrollees aged 19-64, the estimated annual excess deaths rise sharply to 53,144. These projections underscore the grave public health consequences of implementing Medicaid work requirements and highlight the need for careful evidence-based policymaking.
Matching journals
The top 4 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
Similar papers in this journal
Similar papers in this journal
- Covid-19 and Excess Mortality in Medicare Beneficiaries 92%
- Association between City-wide Lockdown and COVID-19 Hospitalization Rates in Multigenerational Households in New York City 91%
- Relative contribution of COVID-19 vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 infection to population-level seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 spike antibodies in a large integrated health system 91%
Similar papers in this journal
- Bias-adjusted predictions of county-level vaccination coverage from the COVID-19 Trends and Impact Survey 92%
- A novel decision modeling framework for health policy analyses when outcomes are influenced by social and disease processes 89%
- Estimating productivity losses per HIV infection due to premature HIV mortality in the United States 88%
Similar papers in this journal
- Measure what matters: counts of hospitalized patients are a better metric for health system capacity planning for a reopening 90%
- Clinical Utility of Automatable Prediction Models for Improving Palliative and End-Of-Life Care Outcomes: Towards Routine Decision Analysis Before Implementation 87%
- Learning Decision Thresholds for Risk-Stratification Models from Aggregate Clinician Behavior 87%
Similar papers in this journal
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.