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Derivation and Validation of a Point-based Forecasting Tool for SARS-CoV-2 Critical Care Occupancy

2025-01-23 infectious diseases Title + abstract only
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BackgroundThe requirement for critical care in even a modest fraction of SARS-CoV-2 infected individuals made ICU resources an important societal chokepoint during the recent pandemic. We developed a simple regression-based point score in 2020 based on an objective of forecasting critical care occupancy in the Canadian province of Ontario based on mean age of cases, case numbers, and testing volume. Evolution of the pandemic (variants of concern, vaccination) led us to re-assess and re-calibrate...

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