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Strategies to improve selection compared to selection based on estimated breeding values

Pook, T.; Hassanpour, A.; Niehoff, T. A. M.; Calus, M. P. L.

2025-01-13 genetics
10.1101/2025.01.09.632197 bioRxiv
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BackgroundSelection of individuals based on their estimated breeding values aims to maximize response to selection to the next generation in the additive model. However, when the aim is not only about short-term population-wide genetic gain but also the gain over multiple generations, an optimal strategy is not as clear-cut, as the maintenance of genetic diversity may become an important factor. This study provides an extended comparison of existing selection strategies in a unifying testing pipeline using the simulation software MoBPS. ResultsApplying a weighting factor on the estimated SNP effects based on the frequency of the beneficial allele resulted in an increase of the long-term genetic gain of 1.6% after 50 generations while reducing inbreeding rates by 16.2% compared to truncation selection based on estimated breeding values. However, this also resulted in short-term losses in genetic gain of 1.2% with the break-even point reached after 25 generations. In contrast, inclusion of the average kinship of an individual to top individuals of the population as an additional trait in the selection index with a weight of 17.5% resulted in no short-term losses and increased long-term genetic gains by 4.3% while reducing inbreeding by 15.8%, achieving very similar efficiency to the use of optimum genetic contribution selection. Combining multiple diversity management strategies, with weights for each strategy optimized using an evolutionary algorithm resulted in a breeding scheme with 5.1% increased genetic gain and 37.3% reduced inbreeding rates. The proposed strategy included the use of optimum genetic contribution, weighting of SNP effects based on allele frequency, average kinship as a trait in the selection index, avoiding matings between related individuals, and lowering the proportion of selected individuals. ConclusionsThe combination of selection strategies for the management of genetic diversity was shown to be far superior to the use of any singular method tested in this study. As an efficient use of methods for the management of genetic diversity and inbreeding does not necessarily lead to short-term losses in genetic gain and comes at no extra costs, it is critical for breeding companies to implement such strategies for long-term success.

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