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Artificial intelligence and species distribution ensemble models inform resource interactions with offshore wind development

Ingram, E. C.; Butler, L.

2024-06-11 ecology
10.1101/2024.06.10.598232 bioRxiv
Show abstract

Development of offshore wind energy resources has led to growing concerns for marine wildlife. However, significant uncertainty remains regarding the technologys potential to impact species of interest that may occupy planned development sites. This is further compounded by the difficulty of monitoring highly migratory or data-poor species in marine waters, making practical assessment of site- or species-specific threats that could require additional management intervention particularly problematic. Here, I identify a highly generalizable framework to inform species interactions in marine habitats allocated for offshore resource exploitation, using telemetry-derived artificial intelligence species distribution models. Results from a case study of the federally protected Atlantic Sturgeon (Acipenser oxyrinchus) demonstrate excellent discriminatory capacity (i.e., AUC [≥] 0.9) at a relatively fine scale (raster resolution = 1 km2), while providing critical information on predicted occurrence over a broad swath of unmonitored marine habitats (i.e., the Atlantic OCS region of the US; area > 620,000 km2). Furthermore, ensemble map products developed from these models are readily scalable to ongoing management needs and, when overlaid with offshore wind energy lease areas, can feed directly into management strategies to inform best practices for potential habitat influences on Atlantic Sturgeon, as well as other species of commercial or conservation interest.

Published in ICES Journal of Marine Science (predicted rank #1) · training set

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