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Cost-effectiveness and health impact of screening and treatment of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection among formerly incarcerated individuals in Brazil

van Lieshout Titan, A.; Klaassen, F.; Pelissari, D. M.; Nildo de Barros Silva, J.; Alves, K.; Costa Alves, L.; Sanchez, M.; Bartholomay, P.; Dockhorn Costa Johansen, F.; Croda, J.; Andrews, J. R.; Castro, M. C.; Cohen, T.; Vuik, C.; Menzies, N. A.

2024-01-04 health economics
10.1101/2024.01.03.23300373 medRxiv
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BackgroundFormerly incarcerated individuals experience high tuberculosis (TB) incidence rates but are generally not considered among risk groups eligible for TB prevention. We investigated the potential health impact and cost-effectiveness of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) infection screening and TB preventive treatment (TPT) for formerly incarcerated individuals in Brazil. MethodsUsing published evidence for Brazil, we constructed a Markov state transition model simulating TB-related health outcomes and costs among formerly incarcerated individuals. The analysis compared TB infection screening and TPT to no screening, considering a combination of Mtb infection tests and TPT regimens. We quantified health effects as reductions in TB cases, TB deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). We assessed costs from a TB programme perspective. We report intervention cost-effectiveness as the incremental costs per DALY averted, and tested how results changed across subgroups of the target population. FindingsAll TPT interventions were cost-effective in comparison to no screening, with a strategy including a tuberculin skin test and a 3-month isoniazid and rifapentine regimen costing $242 per DALY averted. It was estimated to avert 31 (95% uncertainty interval: 14-56) lifetime TB cases and 4.1 (1.4-8.5) lifetime TB deaths per 1,000 individuals receiving the intervention. Younger age, longer incarceration, and more recent prison release were each associated with significantly greater health benefits and more favorable cost-effectiveness ratios; however, the intervention was cost-effective for all subgroups examined. InterpretationMtb infection screening and TPT appear cost-effective for formerly incarcerated individuals. FundingNIH. Evidence in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSIn many settings, incarcerated individuals have been shown to face higher risks of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) infection than the general population. Individuals exiting prison have been found to experience elevated tuberculosis incidence rates over several years, and studies have also reported evidence of elevated tuberculosis incidence in surrounding communities. While several studies have investigated the health impact and cost-effectiveness of interventions to detect and prevent TB disease within prisons, few studies have examined the health impact and cost-effectiveness of interventions to treat Mtb infection among formerly incarcerated individuals. Added value of this studyUsing a Markov model, we simulated lifetime results among a cohort of formerly incarcerated individuals in Brazil offered screening and treatment for Mtb infection. To our knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the health impact and cost-effectiveness of screening and treatment among this cohort. The results contribute to the ongoing efforts to effectively reduce the TB burden and reach the WHOs End TB goals in 2030. Implications of all the available evidenceScreening and treatment of Mtb infection among formerly incarcerated individuals would produce substantial health benefits and be highly cost-effective in the setting examined in this study.

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