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Application of the ANDROMEDA Software for Prediction of the Human Pharmacokinetics of Modern Anticancer Drugs

Fagerholm, U.; Hellberg, S.; Alvarsson, J.; Spjuth, O.

2023-03-21 pharmacology and toxicology
10.1101/2023.03.18.533259 bioRxiv
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The ANDROMEDA toolkit for prediction of human clinical pharmacokinetics, based on machine learning, conformal prediction and a new physiologically-based pharmacokinetic model, was used to predict and characterize the human clinical pharmacokinetics of 12 small anticancer drugs marketed in 2021 and 2022 (molecular weight 355 to 1326 g/mol). The study is part of a series of software validations. A majority of clinical pharmacokinetic data was missing. ANDROMEDA successfully filled this gap. Most drugs were predicted/measured to have relatively complex pharmacokinetics, with limited passive permeability+efflux, high degree of plasma protein binding, significant gut-wall elimination and food interaction, biliary excretion and/or limited dissolution potential. Median, mean and maximum prediction errors for steady state volume of distribution, unbound fraction in plasma, blood-to-plasma concentration ratio, hepatic, renal and total clearance, fraction absorbed, oral bioavailability, half-life and degree of food interaction were 1.6-, 2.4- and 17-fold, respectively. Less than 3-fold errors were found for 78 % of predictions. Results are consistent with those obtained in previous validation studies and are better than with the best laboratory-based prediction methods, which validates ANDROMEDA for predictions of human clinical pharmacokinetics of modern small anticancer drugs with multi-mechanistical and challenging pharmacokinetics.

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