On the genetic consequences of habitat contraction: edge effects and habitat loss

Natural climate change and recent anthropogenic activities have largely contributed to habitat loss and fragmentation across the world, leading to 70% of worldwide remaining forests to be within 1 km of forests edges (Haddad et al., 2015). Ecological studies have shown that edge-effect influences ecological communities, species richness and abundance across many taxa, contributing to worldwide decline in biodiversity. Since edge-effect reduces species abundance and connectivity, it is also expected to negatively influence species genetic variation. In fact, previous theoretical studies had showed that populations closer to the edges of a finite stepping-stone model tends to have shorter coalescence times, and therefore, lower genetic diversity, than central populations. However, predicting the impact of edge effect on local genetic diversity remains challenging in realistic and more complex habitat fragments, where the additive effect of multiple edges is expected to take place. In the present study we explore the genetic consequence of habitat loss at the scale of a habitat fragment (patch-scale), looking at the interplay between patch-size and edge-effect on spatial genetic diversity. We propose a statistical approach to estimate edge-impacted effective population size from habitat cover information and use this measure to predict spatial genetic diversity in both equilibrium and non-equilibrium populations. We address these questions using spatially-explicit simulations and propose a spatially-explicit analytical framework able to model spatio-temporal changes in genetic diversity due to edge-effect and habitat loss.