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Pre-Operative Kidney Biomarkers and Risks for Death, Cardiovascular and Chronic Kidney Disease Events: The TRIBE-AKI Study

Vasquez-Rios, G.; Moledina, D. G.; Jia, Y.; McArthur, E.; Mansour, S. G.; Thiessen-Philbrook, H.; Shlipak, M. G.; Koyner, J. L.; Garg, A. X.; Parikh, C. R.; Coca, S. G.

2021-12-14 nephrology
10.1101/2021.12.13.21266784 medRxiv
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BackgroundSoluble tumor necrosis factor receptor (sTNFR)1, sTNFR2, and plasma kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1) are associated with kidney events in patients with and without diabetes. However, their associations with clinical outcomes when obtained pre-operatively have not been explored. MethodsThe TRIBE-AKI cohort study is a prospective, multicenter, cohort study of high-risk adults undergoing cardiac surgery. We assessed the associations between pre-operative concentrations of plasma sTNFR1, sTNFR2, and KIM-1 and post-operative long-term outcomes including mortality, cardiovascular events, and chronic kidney disease (CKD) incidence or progression, ascertained after discharge. ResultsAmong 1378 participants included in the analysis with a median follow-up period was 6.7 (IQR 4.0-7.9), 434 (31%) patients died, 256 (19%) experienced cardiovascular events and out of 837 with available long-term kidney function data, 30% developed CKD. After adjustment for clinical covariates, each log increase in biomarker concentration was independently associated with mortality with 95%CI adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) of 3.0 (2.3-4.0), 2.3 (1.8-2.9) and 2.0 (CI 1.6-2.4) for sTNFR1, sTNFR2 and KIM-1, respectively. For cardiovascular events, the 95%CI aHRs were 2.1 (1.5 - 3.1), 1.9 (1.4 - 2.6) and 1.6 (1.2 - 2.1) for sTNFR1, sTNFR2 and KIM-1, respectively. For CKD events, the aHRs were 2.2 (1.5 - 3.1) for sTNFR1, 1.9 (1.3 - 2.7) for sTNFR2, and 1.7 (1.3 - 2.3) for KIM-1. Despite the associations, each of the biomarkers alone or in combination failed to result in robust discrimination on an absolute basis or compared to a clinical model. ConclusionsTNFR1, sTNFR2, and KIM-1 were independently associated with longitudinal outcomes after discharge from a cardiac surgery hospitalization including death, cardiovascular and CKD events when obtained pre-operatively in high-risk individuals. Pre-operative plasma biomarkers could serve to assist during the evaluation of patients in whom cardiac surgery is planned.

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