Female choice can explain the fertilization pattern in oaks

We extend a two-step lottery model of Craft et al. to test the hypothesis that oak trees pursue a form of within-flower female choice to increase the diversity of fathers. Oak trees produce six ovules per flower while maturing just one acorn. When assuming a random ovule selection - which is a natural assumption in the absence of other hypotheses - observed fertilization patterns in oaks cannot be explained: long-distance fertilization is unusually common, even as nearby oak trees may be absent as pollen donors. Our model demonstrates how producing multiple ovules per flower permits selection for rare, distant fathers. The number of ovules per flower that maximizes paternal diversity increases with the number of trees. We introduce a cost function for ovule production for which six ovules per flower balance these costs with the benefits of diversifying fathers. Using data from two published field studies, 7 of 8 investigated maternal oaks had actual paternal diversity indices (average diversity index of 15.42) that fit the female choice hypothesis (estimated diversity of 14.66) significantly better than assuming a random selection from the six available ovules (estimated diversity of 7.649). A third field study permitted us to compare paternity by distance classes for two maternal trees. Both fit the female choice model better than random ovule selection.