Excess mortality during the first ten months of COVID-19 epidemic at Jakarta, Indonesia

Excess mortality during the COVID-19 epidemic is an important measure of health impacts. We examined mortality records from January 2015 to October 2020 from government sources at Jakarta, Indonesia: 1) burials in public cemeteries; 2) civil death registration; and 3) health authority death registration. During 2015-2019, an average of 26,342 burials occurred each year from January to October. During the same period of 2020, there were 42,460 burials, an excess of 61%. Burial activities began surging in early January 2020, two months before the first official laboratory confirmation of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Indonesia in March 2020. Analysis of civil death registrations or health authority death registration showed insensitive trends during 2020. Burial records indicated substantially increased mortality associated with the onset of and ongoing COVID-19 epidemic in Jakarta and suggest that SARS-CoV-2 transmission may have been initiated and progressing at least two months prior to official detection. Article summary lineAnalysis of civil records of burials in Jakarta, Indonesia showed a 61% increase during 2020 compared to the previous five years, a trend that began two months prior to first official confirmation of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the city.