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A Machine Learning approach for assessing drug development risk

Vergetis, V.; Liaropoulos, G.; Georganaki, M.; Dimakakos, A.; Skaltsas, D.; Gorgoulis, V. G.; Tsirigos, A.

2020-10-09 bioinformatics
10.1101/2020.10.08.331926 bioRxiv
Show abstract

Characterizing drug development risk - the probability that a drug will eventually receive regulatory approval - has been notoriously hard given the complexities of drug biology and clinical trials. This often leads to an inefficient allocation of resources, and an overall reduction in R&D productivity. We propose a Machine Learning (ML) approach that provides a more accurate and unbiased estimate of drug development risk than traditional models.

Matching journals

The top 6 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

50% of probability mass above

"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.