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COVID-19 mortality according to civilian records

Lovisolo, L.; Catalao, D. H. S.; Burgos, R. B.; Grave, M.; Constantino-Teles, P.; Cunha, A.

2020-08-11 epidemiology
10.1101/2020.08.07.20170183 medRxiv
Show abstract

In this short report, we bring some data-driven analyses of COVID-19 mortality in Brazil. The impact of COVID-19 is evaluated by comparing the 2019 and 2020 civilian death records. There is evidence of a considerable excess of deaths since the pandemic started with respect to the previous year. In some states, it is clear that not all excess of deaths in 2020 is due to COVID-19, but to other respiratory causes that did not present the same prevalence in the previous year. Because of this unusual behavior of respiratory deaths, we may infer the evidence of a huge amount of under-reporting deaths due to the COVID-19. The data also shows that COVID-19 has produced an excess death in all ages besides people above 90 and below 10 years. In addition, when separates by sex, data indicate a larger increase in the deaths among males than females.

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