Modeling the COVID-19 dissemination in the South Region of Brazil and testing gradual mitigation strategies

2020-07-04 infectious diseases Title + abstract only

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This study aims to understand the features of the COVID-19 spread in the South Region of Brazil by estimating the Effective Reproduction Number (ERN)[R] e for the states of Parana (PR), Rio Grande do Sul (RS), and Santa Catarina (SC). We used the SIRD (Susceptibles-Infectious-Recovered-Dead) model to describe the past data and to simulate strategies for the gradual mitigation of the epidemic curve by applying non-pharmacological measures. Besides the SIRD model does not include some aspects of C...

Modeling the COVID-19 dissemination in the South Region of Brazil and testing gradual mitigation strategies

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