A Logistic Curve in the SIR Model and Its Application to Deaths by COVID-19 in Japan
Shigemoto, K.; Saito, T.
Show abstract
Approximate solutions of SIR equations are given, based on a logistic growth curve in the Biology. These solutions are applied to fix the basic reproduction number and the removed ratio c, especially from data of accumulated number of deaths in Japan COVID-19. We then discuss the end of the epidemic. These logistic curve results are compared with the exact results of the SIR model.
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