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Closed form solution of the SIR model for the COVID-19 outbreak in Italy

Giubilei, R.

2020-06-08 epidemiology
10.1101/2020.06.06.20124313 medRxiv
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The CODIV-19 outbreak in early 2020 generated a tremendous effort of epidemiologists and researchers to fit the experimental data with the solutions of the SIR model equations [1] or with more sophisticated models. In this paper we show that under same hypotheses, a closed form solution exists that reasonably fits the experimental data for Italy, and the results can be extended to any other area.

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"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.